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Item 7A — Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk
Cardinal Health, Inc. · 10-K · FY 2026 · Period ended Jun 30, 2026
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We are exposed to cash flow and earnings fluctuations as a result of certain market risks. These market risks primarily relate to foreign exchange, interest rate, and commodity price-related changes. We maintain a hedging program to manage volatility related to some of these market exposures which employs operational, economic, and derivative financial instruments in order to mitigate risk. See Note 1 and Note 10 of the “Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements” for further discussion regarding our use of derivative instruments.
Foreign Exchange Rate Sensitivity
By the nature of our global operations, we are exposed to cash flow and earnings fluctuations resulting from foreign exchange rate variation. These exposures are transactional and translational in nature. The following foreign currencies represent the principal drivers of our foreign exchange exposure: Canadian dollar, euro, Thai baht, Mexican peso, Chinese renminbi, Australian dollar, British pound, Japanese yen, Philippine peso, Brazilian real, South Korean won, Costa Rican colon, Singapore dollar, Dominican peso, and Indian rupee.
We apply a Value-At-Risk ("VAR") methodology to our transactional and translational exposures. The VAR model is a risk estimation tool and is not intended to represent actual losses in fair value that could be incurred.
Transactional Exposure
Transactional exposure arises from the purchase and sale of goods and services in currencies other than our functional currency or the functional currency of our subsidiaries. At the end
of each fiscal year, we perform sensitivity analyses on our forecasted transactional exposure for the upcoming fiscal year. These analyses include the estimated impact of our hedging program, which is designed to mitigate transactional exposure. Applying a VAR methodology to our transactional exposure and including the impact of our hedging program, the potential maximum loss in earnings for the upcoming fiscal year is estimated to be $15 million, which is based on a one-year horizon and a 95 percent confidence level.
Translational Exposure
We have exposure related to the translation of financial statements of our foreign operations into U.S. dollars, our functional currency. Applying a VAR methodology to our translational exposure, the potential maximum loss in earnings for the upcoming fiscal year is estimated to be $2 million, which is based on a one-year horizon and a 95 percent confidence level.
Interest Rate Sensitivity
We are exposed to changes in interest rates primarily as a result of our borrowing and investing activities to maintain liquidity and fund operations. The nature and amount of our long-term and short-term debt can be expected to fluctuate as a result of business requirements, market conditions, and other factors. Our policy is to manage exposures to interest rates using a mix of fixed and floating rate debt as deemed appropriate by management. We utilize interest rate swap instruments to mitigate our exposure to interest rate movements.
As part of our risk management program related to our debt, we perform an annual sensitivity analysis on our forecasted exposure to interest rates for the upcoming fiscal year. At June 30, 2026, a hypothetical increase or decrease of 50 basis points in interest rates would result in an increase or decrease in interest expense of $14 million, respectively.
We are also exposed to market risk from changes in interest rates related to our cash and cash equivalents, which includes marketable securities that are carried at fair value in the consolidated balance sheets. The fair value of our cash and cash equivalents is subject to change primarily as a result of changes in market interest rates and investment risk related to the issuers' credit worthiness. At June 30, 2026, a hypothetical increase or decrease of 50 basis points in interest rates would result in an increase or decrease in interest income of $19 million, respectively.
Cardinal Health | Fiscal 2026 Form 10-K 23
Disclosures about Market Risk
Commodity Price Sensitivity
We are directly exposed to market price changes for certain commodities, including oil-based resins, nitrile, cotton, diesel fuel, and latex. We typically purchase raw materials at either market prices or prices tied to a commodity index and some finished goods at prices based in part on a commodity price index. During fiscal 2026, the prices of certain commodities continued to experience fluctuation due in part to the conflict in Iran.
As part of our risk management program, we perform sensitivity analysis on our forecasted direct commodity exposure for the
upcoming fiscal year. Our forecasted direct commodity exposure at June 30, 2026 decreased approximately $34 million from June 30, 2025. There were no outstanding commodity contracts in our hedging program at June 30, 2026.
Our forecasted direct commodity exposures for the upcoming fiscal year is $457 million. The potential gain/loss for fiscal 2026, given a hypothetical 10 percent fluctuation in commodity prices, assuming pricing collectively shifts in the same direction and there is no change in customer pricing is $46 million at June 30, 2026.
24 Cardinal Health | Fiscal 2026 Form 10-K