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Item 3 — Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk
Keel Infrastructure Corp. · 10-Q · Q2 FY2026 · Period ended Jun 30, 2026
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We are exposed to market risk in the ordinary course of our business. Market risk represents the risk of loss that may impact our financial position due to adverse changes in financial market prices and rates.
Market value and price risk of Bitcoin
We hold a significant amount of Bitcoin, and therefore are exposed to the impact of market price changes in Bitcoin. The price of Bitcoin is volatile, and is impacted by factors such as global economic conditions, regulatory developments affecting digital assets, technological changes in the blockchain ecosystem, market liquidity and shifts in investor demand. Further, the rewards for each Bitcoin mined are subject to "halving" adjustments at predetermined intervals.
As of June 30, 2026, we held 2,261 Bitcoin with a fair value of $132.4 million, reflecting a fair value of a single Bitcoin of approximately $58,600. A decline in the market price of Bitcoin could reduce the value of our digital asset holdings and negatively affect our revenue and profitability and could also reduce the amount of cash available to us upon disposition of these holdings, which may adversely affect our liquidity. A 10% increase or decrease in the market price of Bitcoin over the course of the three and six months ended June 30, 2026, would have increased or decreased our revenue by $2.6 million and $5.6 million, respectively, and would have had a material effect on our total revenue as at that date.
Impact of tariffs
Changes in government and economic policies, incentives, trade regulations, or tariffs may have a material adverse impact on hardware and equipment that we import, our business, prospects, operations and financial performance. In addition to those tariffs which have already come into effect, additional tariffs and trade restrictions may be suggested in the future, which, if they were to be enacted, could further impact our business. While the final scope, timing, and application of recently announced or proposed changes in U.S. trade policy remain uncertain, increases in tariffs on imported equipment, as well as the potential imposition of retaliatory tariffs by foreign jurisdictions, could materially increase our equipment and infrastructure costs or limit the availability of certain components, our ability to procure equipment on a timely basis or at cost-effective levels, which in turn may impact project timelines, capital expenditures, and operating margins. We continuously monitor developments in trade policy and may adjust our procurement strategies, sourcing arrangements, or deployment plans in response to such changes. Any such developments could negatively affect our overall financial performance.
Interest rate risk
We have limited exposure to interest rate risk, which is the risk that a financial instrument’s value will fluctuate as a result of changes in the market interest rates on variable interest-bearing financial instruments. As of June 30, 2026, we do not use derivatives to mitigate interest rate exposures. We only hold cash and maintain our cash balance with major financial institutions that are insured by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation.
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KEEL INFRASTRUCTURE CORP. (formerly known as Bitfarms Ltd.)
PART I - FINANCIAL INFORMATION