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Item 11 — Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk
Grupo Simec, S.a.b. De C.v. · 20-F · FY 2025 · Period ended Dec 31, 2025
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About Market Risk
We are exposed to market risk,
which is the potential risk of loss in fair values, cash flows or earnings due to changes in interest rates and foreign currency rates
(primarily the peso/dollar exchange rate), as a result of our holdings of financial instrument positions. Our financial instruments include
cash and cash equivalents, trade and other accounts receivable, accounts payable, and related party debt. We do not maintain a trading
portfolio. We do not utilize derivative financial instruments to manage our market risks with respect to our financial instruments. Historically,
based on the last ten years of data, devaluation of the Mexican peso has been 4% lower than the Mexico’s inflation.
We are exposed to market risk
due to fluctuations of the purchase price of natural gas. To limit our exposure, we have in the past, and may in the future, used derivative
financial instruments, which consist of natural gas swap contracts. These contracts are recognized on our balance sheet at fair value.
The swaps are considered as cash flow hedges since the cash flow exchanges under the swap are highly effective in mitigating exposure
to natural gas price fluctuations. The change in fair value of the swaps is recorded as part of comprehensive income in stockholders’
equity for those contracts that are designated as accounting hedges until such time as the related item hedged is recorded in income.
At that time, the hedging instrument’s fair value is recorded in income. For those contracts that are not designated as accounting
hedges, the change in fair value is recorded directly into income. We do not believe our market risk with respect to these natural gas
futures contracts is material. As of December 31, 2025, we did not have natural gas cash-flow exchange contracts or swaps.
Market Risk Measurement
We measure our market risk
related to our financial instruments based on changes in interest rates and foreign currency rates utilizing a sensitivity analysis. The
sensitivity analysis measures the potential loss in fair values, cash flows and earnings based on a hypothetical increase in interest
rates and a decline in the peso/dollar exchange rate. We used market rates as of December 31, 2025 on our financial instruments to perform
the sensitivity analysis. We believe that these potential changes in market rates are reasonably possible in the near-term (one year or
less). Based upon our analysis of the impact of a 100-basis point increase in interest rates and a 13% decline in the peso/dollar exchange
rate, we have determined that such increase in interest rates and such decline in the peso/dollar exchange rate would not have a material
adverse effect on our earnings. We do not have material debt instruments in the market, we are not able to determine the impact of these
changes on the fair value of those debt instruments. The sections below describe our exposure to interest rates and currency rates including
the impact of changes in these rates on our earnings.
Interest Rate Exposure
We are exposed to changes
in short-term interest rates as we invest in short-term dollar-denominated interest-bearing investments. On the liability side, we utilize
fixed rate debt, and our financial debt was less than U.S.$1 million, we do not have material debt instruments in the market as of December
31, 2025. The floating rate debt is exposed to changes in interest expense and cash flows from changes in SOFR, while the fixed rate debt
is mostly exposed to changes in fair value from changes in medium term interest rates. Based on an immediate 200 basis point rise in interest
rates, we estimate that our earnings before taxes would not be significantly affected.
Currency Rate Exposure
Our primary foreign currency
exchange rate exposure, we do not have material debt instruments in the market as well as our dollar-denominated trade payables. Our principal
currency exposure is to changes in the peso/dollar exchange rate. We estimate that a 13% decline in the peso/dollar exchange rate would
result in a decrease in our earnings before taxes of approximately Ps. 0.75 million (U.S.$0.04 million).
The sensitivity analysis is
an estimate and should not be viewed as predictive of our future financial performance. Additionally, we cannot assure that our actual
losses in any particular year will not exceed the amounts indicated above. However, we do believe that these amounts are reasonable based
on the financial instrument portfolio at December 31, 2025 and assuming that the hypothetical market rate changes selected by us in our
market risk analysis occur during 2025. The sensitivity analysis does not give effect to the impact of inflation on its exposure to increases
in interest rates or the decline in the peso/dollar exchange rate.
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