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Item 3 — Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk
Eqt Corporation · 10-Q · Q2 FY2026 · Period ended Jun 30, 2026
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Commodity Price Risk and Derivative Instruments. Our primary market risk exposure is the volatility of future prices for natural gas and NGLs, which can affect our operating results. We use derivative commodity instruments to hedge our cash flows from sales of produced natural gas and NGLs. The overall objective of our hedging program is to protect our cash flows from undue exposure to the risk of changing commodity prices. Our use of derivatives is further described in Note 4 to the Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements and "Commodity Risk Management" under "Capital Resources and Liquidity" in Item 2., "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations."
A hypothetical decrease of 10% in the NYMEX natural gas price on June 30, 2026 and December 31, 2025 would increase the fair value of our natural gas derivative commodity instruments by approximately $124 million and $100 million, respectively. A hypothetical increase of 10% in the NYMEX natural gas price on June 30, 2026 and December 31, 2025 would decrease the fair value of our natural gas derivative commodity instruments by approximately $117 million and $93 million, respectively. For purposes of this analysis, we applied the 10% change in the NYMEX natural gas price on June 30, 2026 and December 31, 2025 to our natural gas derivative commodity instruments as of June 30, 2026 and December 31, 2025 to calculate the hypothetical change in fair value. The change in fair value was determined using a method similar to our normal process for determining derivative commodity instrument fair value described in Note 5 to the Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements.
The above analysis of our derivative commodity instruments does not include the offsetting impact that the same hypothetical price movement may have on our physical sales of natural gas. The portfolio of derivative commodity instruments held to hedge our forecasted produced natural gas approximates a portion of our expected physical sales of natural gas; therefore, an adverse impact to the fair value of the portfolio of derivative commodity instruments held to hedge our forecasted production associated with the hypothetical changes in commodity prices referenced above should be offset by a favorable impact on our physical sales of natural gas, assuming that the derivative commodity instruments are not closed in advance of their expected term and the derivative commodity instruments continue to function effectively as hedges of the underlying risk.
If the underlying physical transactions or positions are liquidated prior to the maturity of the derivative commodity instruments, a loss on the financial instruments may occur or the derivative commodity instruments might be worthless as determined by the prevailing market value on their termination or maturity date, whichever comes first.
Interest Rate Risk. As of June 30, 2026, there have been no material changes to our interest rate risk exposures described in the "Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk – Interest Rate Risk" section of EQT's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025.
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Other Market Risks. We are exposed to credit loss in the event of nonperformance by counterparties to our derivative contracts. This credit exposure is limited to derivative contracts with a positive fair value, which may change as market prices change. Approximately 76%, or $133 million, of our OTC derivative contracts outstanding at June 30, 2026 had a positive fair value. Approximately 62%, or $159 million, of our OTC derivative contracts outstanding at December 31, 2025 had a positive fair value. Otherwise, as of June 30, 2026, there have been no material changes to our market risk exposures described in the "Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk – Other Market Risks" section of EQT's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025.