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Item 11 — Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk
Alibaba Group Holding Limited · 20-F · FY 2026 · Period ended Mar 31, 2026
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Interest Rate Risk
Our main interest rate exposure relates to our indebtedness and interest-bearing assets, including cash and cash equivalents, short‑term investments, restricted cash and other treasury investments. We manage our interest rate exposure with a focus on reducing our overall cost of debt and exposure to changes in interest rates. When considered appropriate, we use derivatives, such as interest rate swaps, to manage our interest rate exposure.
As of March 31, 2026, approximately 19% of our total debt (including bank borrowings, unsecured senior notes, convertible unsecured senior notes and exchangeable bonds) carries floating interest rates and the remaining 81% carries fixed interest rates. Certain of our indebtedness carries floating interest rates based on Loan Prime Rate. As a result, the interest expenses associated with these indebtedness will be subject to the potential impact of any fluctuation in Loan Prime Rate. An increase in Loan Prime Rate could raise our financing costs, which could adversely affect our operating results and financial condition, as well as our cash flows. See “Item 3. Key Information — D. Risk Factors — Risks Related to Our Business and Industry — We are subject to interest rate risk in connection with our indebtedness.”
As of March 31, 2025 and 2026, if interest rates increased/decreased by 1%, with all other variables having remained constant, and assuming the amount of interest‑bearing assets and debts that bear floating interest were outstanding for the entire respective years,
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our net income would have been RMB3,750 million and RMB2,786 million (US$404 million) higher/lower, respectively, mainly as a result of higher/lower interest income from our cash and cash equivalents and short‑term investments. The analysis does not include floating interest rate debts whose interests are hedged by interest rate swaps.
Foreign Exchange Risk
Foreign currency risk arises from future commercial transactions, recognized assets and liabilities and net investments in foreign operations. Although we operate businesses in different countries and regions, most of our revenue‑generating transactions, and a majority of our expense‑related transactions, are denominated in Renminbi, which is the functional currency of our major operating subsidiaries and the reporting currency of our financial statements. When considered appropriate, we enter into hedging activities with regard to exchange rate risk.
The value of the Renminbi against the U.S. dollar and other currencies may fluctuate and is affected by, among other things, changes in political and economic conditions and the foreign exchange policy adopted by the PRC government. It is difficult to predict how market forces or PRC or U.S. government policy may impact the exchange rate between the Renminbi and the U.S. dollar in the future.
To the extent that we need to convert U.S. dollars into Renminbi for our operations, appreciation of the Renminbi against the U.S. dollar would reduce the Renminbi amount we receive from the conversion. Conversely, if we decide to convert Renminbi into U.S. dollars for the purpose of share repurchases, paying dividends and other cash distributions to our shareholders, funding inter-company loans, servicing outstanding debt and paying our expenses, or for other business purposes, appreciation of the U.S. dollar against the Renminbi would reduce the U.S. dollar amounts available to us.
As of March 31, 2025, we had cash and cash equivalents, short‑term investments and other treasury investments that are unrestricted for withdrawal and use denominated in Renminbi and U.S. dollar of RMB343,220 million and US$33,072 million, respectively. Assuming we had converted RMB343,220 million into U.S. dollars at the exchange rate of RMB7.2567 for US$1.00 as of March 31, 2025, our total balance of cash and cash equivalents, short‑term investments and other treasury investments that are unrestricted for withdrawal and use in U.S. dollar would have been US$80,369 million. If the Renminbi had depreciated by 10% against the U.S. dollar, the balance in U.S. dollar would have been US$76,069 million.
As of March 31, 2026, we had cash and cash equivalents, short‑term investments and other treasury investments that are unrestricted for withdrawal and use denominated in Renminbi and U.S. dollar of RMB271,679 million and US$33,139 million, respectively. Assuming we had converted RMB271,679 million into U.S. dollars at the exchange rate of RMB6.8980 for US$1.00 as of March 31, 2026, our total balance of cash and cash equivalents, short‑term investments and other treasury investments that are unrestricted for withdrawal and use in U.S. dollar would have been US$72,525 million. If the Renminbi had depreciated by 10% against the U.S. dollar, the balance in U.S. dollar would have been US$68,944 million.
Market Price Risk
We are exposed to market price risk primarily with respect to equity securities carried at fair value that are publicly traded. A substantial portion of our investments in equity method investees are held for long‑term appreciation or for strategic purposes, which are accounted for under equity method and are not subject to market price risk. We are not exposed to commodity price risk. The sensitivity analysis is determined based on the exposure of the listed equity securities to market price risk at the end of each reporting period.
In fiscal years 2025 and 2026, if the market price of the listed equity securities held by us had been 1% higher/lower as of March 31, 2025 and 2026, these equity securities would have been approximately RMB776 million and RMB1,006 million (US$146 million) higher/lower, respectively, all of which would be recognized as income or loss during the respective period.