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Item 11 — Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk
Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited · 20-F · FY 2025 · Period ended Jun 30, 2025
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The information set forth under the heading “Cautionary statement about forward-looking statements” on the inside front
cover is incorporated herein by reference.
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General
We are exposed to market risks, including credit risk, foreign exchange risk, commodity price risk, other price risk and
interest rate risk associated with underlying assets, liabilities and anticipated transactions. Following periodic evaluation of these
exposures, we may enter into derivative financial instruments to manage these exposures. We have policies in areas such as
counterparty exposure and hedging practices, which have been approved by our audit and risk committee. We do not hold or
issue derivative financial instruments for trading or speculative purposes.
We did not apply hedge accounting to incidental hedges held in the past.
In accordance with IFRS 9 - Financial Instruments, we account for our derivative financial instruments as hedging
transactions if the following criteria are met:
•in the case of a hedge of an anticipated future transaction, there is a high probability that the transaction will occur, and
•in the case of a cash flow hedge, the hedging instrument is expected to be highly effective.
During fiscal 2025 and 2024, we designated all of the gold forward sales as well as (from April 2024) gold zero cost collar
contracts as cash flow hedging instruments and applied hedge accounting to these transactions. See "- Commodity Price
Sensitivity" below.
Foreign Currency Exchange Risk and Sensitivity
In the ordinary course of business, we enter into transactions denominated in foreign currencies (primarily US dollars,
Australian dollars and PNG Kina). In addition, we incur investments and liabilities in US dollars, Australian dollars and PNG Kina
from time to time. As a result, we are subject to transaction and translation exposure from fluctuations in foreign currency
exchange rates.
Harmony enters into foreign exchange hedging contracts to manage these risks. This can take the form of zero cost
collars, which establish a minimum (floor) and maximum (cap) Rand/US dollar exchange rate at which to convert the US dollars
we receive on our gold sales to Rand or outright forward contracts that fix the forward exchange rate. The limit currently set by
the board is 25% of the group's foreign exchange risk exposure for a period of 24 months. At 30 June 2025, the nominal amount
of the zero cost collars is US$226 million spread over a 24-month period with a weighted average cap price of US$1=R20.54
and weighted average floor price of US$1=R18.54. Additionally, at 30 June 2025 Harmony had open foreign exchange forward
contracts which had a nominal amount of US$53 million spread over a 12-month period at an average exchange rate of
US$1=R19.98.
Commodity Price Risk and Sensitivity
General
Our revenue is sensitive to the spot price of gold as newly mined gold production is typically sold at the ruling market price
of gold, and in the case of Hidden Valley, our revenue is sensitive to the spot price of silver as well. During fiscal 2025 and 2024,
Harmony entered into forward sales to establish the sales price in advance of its future gold production. During April 2024
Harmony introduced gold collar hedging contracts to its derivative programme to hedge the risk of lower gold prices and a new
limit for gold hedging was approved by the Board as 30%, 20% and 10% of production in a 12-, 24- and 36-month period,
respectively, for contracts going forward.
The market price of gold has a significant effect on our results of operations, our ability to pay dividends and undertake
capital expenditures, and the market price of our ordinary shares.
Gold prices have historically fluctuated widely and are affected by numerous industry factors over which we do not have
any control. See Item 3: “Key Information - Risk Factors - Strategic and Market Risks - The profitability of our operations, and
cash flows generated by those operations, are affected by changes in the price of gold and other metals; a fall in the gold price
below our cash cost of production and capital expenditure required to sustain production for any sustained period may lead to
losses and require us to curtail or suspend certain operations”. The aggregate effect of these factors, all of which are beyond our
control, is impossible for us to predict.
Harmony’s Hedging Policy
As a general rule, we sell our gold production at market prices. However, commencing in fiscal 2017, Harmony started
entering into derivative contracts to manage the variability in cash flows from the Group’s production, to create cash certainty
and protect the Group against lower commodity prices. See Item 5: “Operating and Financial Review and Prospects - Operating
Results - Revenue".
Commodity Sales Agreements
At 30 June 2025, the open Rand gold forward sale contracts amounted to 314,000 ounces spread over 30 months at an
average of R1,510,000/kg. The open US$ gold forward contracts amounted to 45,000 ounces spread over 30 months at an
average of US$2,468/oz. The open Rand gold zero cost collar contracts amounted to 432,000 ounces at a weighted average
floor of R1,757,000/kg and a weighted average cap of R1,996,000/kg spread over 36 months. The open US$ gold zero cost
collar contracts amounted to 72,000 ounces spread over 36 months at a weighted average floor of US$2,796/oz and a weighted
average cap of US$3,118/oz.
The open US$ silver zero cost collars amounted to 2,480,000 ounces spread over 24 months at a weighted average floor
of US$31.22/oz and a weighted average cap of US$35.04/oz.
At 30 June 2024, the open Rand gold forward sale contracts amounted to 638,000 ounces spread over 36 months at an
average of R1,373,000/kg. The open US$ gold forward contracts amounted to 75,000 ounces spread over 36 months at an
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average of US$2,273/oz. The open Rand gold zero cost collar contracts amounted to 170,000 ounces at a weighted average
floor of R1,524,000/kg and a weighted average cap of R1,722,000/kg spread over 36 months. The open US$ gold zero cost
collar contracts amounted to 31,000 ounces spread over 36 months at a weighted average floor of US$ 2,447/oz and a
weighted average cap of US$ 2,721/oz. The open US$ silver zero cost collars amounted to 2,230,000 ounces spread over 24
months at a weighted average floor of US$27.22/oz and a weighted average cap of US$30.20/oz.
Other Price Risk
The group is exposed to the risk of fluctuations in the fair value of fair value through profit or loss financial assets as a
result of changes in market prices (other than changes in interest rates and foreign currencies). Harmony generally does not use
any derivative instruments to manage this risk.
Interest Rate Risk
Our interest rate risk arises mainly from borrowings. The group has variable interest rate borrowings. Variable rate
borrowings expose the group to cash flow interest rate risk.
With inflation rates easing and economies recovering, central banks started to reduce interest rates during the year ended
30 June 2025. The reduced interest rates had a positive impact on Harmony's cost of borrowings compared to the prior year.
The group has therefore not entered into interest rate swap agreements as the interest rate risk continues to be assessed as
low. Further to this, the decreased interest rates have lowered outstanding bond yields and this has resulted in a decrease in
discount rates.
Credit Risk
Credit risk is the risk that a counterparty may default or not meet its obligations in a timely manner. Financial instruments
which are subject to credit risk are restricted cash and investments, derivative financial assets and cash and cash equivalents,
as well as trade and other receivables (excluding non-financial instruments).
In assessing the creditworthiness of local institutions, management uses the national scale long-term ratings. The credit
risk arising from restricted cash and investments, derivative financial assets and cash and cash equivalents is managed by
ensuring amounts are only invested with financial institutions of good credit quality based on external credit ratings and by
assessing the underlying source of where the funds are invested. The group has policies that limit the amount of credit exposure
to any one financial institution. The audit and risk committee reviews the exposure on a quarterly basis. Exposure to credit risk
on trade and other receivables is monitored on a regular basis by management.
At 30 June 2025, the national scale investment grade rating of the major South African banks remained unchanged at AA+
and the group's Australian counterparts remained at AA-, which is in line with the group's credit risk policy.
Liquidity Risk
Prudent liquidity risk management implies maintaining sufficient cash and marketable securities, and the availability of
funding through an adequate amount of committed credit facilities.
In the ordinary course of business, the group receives cash from its operations and is required to fund working capital and
capital expenditure requirements. Management prepares cash flow forecasts weekly and ensures that surplus funds are
invested in a manner to achieve market-related returns and to provide sufficient liquidity at the minimum risk. The group
maintains and refinances committed credit facilities as medium-term forecasts require. The audit and risk committee reviews the
updated forecasts quarterly. The group is able to actively source financing at competitive rates. Where necessary, funds will be
drawn from its revolving credit facilities.
For further information on financial, credit and liquidity risks and sensitivities, see note 37 “Financial Risk Management” to
our consolidated financial statements set forth beginning on page F-1.
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