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Item 3 — Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk
Hershey Co · 10-Q · Q2 FY2026 · Period ended Jun 28, 2026
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Interest Rate Risk
The total amount of short-term debt, net of cash, amounted to net cash of $370 million and $707 million, at June 28, 2026 and December 31, 2025, respectively. A hypothetical 100 basis point increase in interest rates applied to this variable-rate short-term debt as of June 28, 2026 would have changed interest expense by approximately $2.7 million for the first six months of 2026 and $5.3 million for 2025.
We consider our current risk related to market fluctuations in interest rates on our remaining debt portfolio, excluding fixed-rate debt converted to variable rates with fixed-to-floating instruments, to be minimal since this debt is largely long-term and fixed-rate in nature. Generally, the fair market value of fixed-rate debt will increase as interest rates fall and decrease as interest rates rise. A 100 basis point increase in market interest rates would decrease the fair value of our fixed-rate long-term debt at June 28, 2026 and December 31, 2025 by approximately $233 million and $236 million, respectively. However, since we currently have no plans to repurchase our outstanding fixed-rate instruments before their maturities, the impact of market interest rate fluctuations on our long-term debt does not affect our results of operations or financial position.
Foreign Currency Exchange Rate Risk
We are exposed to currency fluctuations related to manufacturing or selling products in currencies other than the U.S. dollar. We may enter into foreign currency forward exchange contracts to reduce fluctuations in our long or short currency positions relating primarily to purchase commitments or forecasted purchases for equipment, raw materials and finished goods denominated in foreign currencies.
The fair value of foreign currency forward exchange contracts represents the difference between the contracted and current market foreign currency exchange rates at the end of the period. We estimate the fair value of foreign currency forward exchange contracts on a quarterly basis by obtaining market quotes of spot and forward rates for contracts with similar terms, adjusted where necessary for maturity differences. The potential decline in fair value of foreign currency forward exchange contracts resulting from a hypothetical near-term adverse change in market rates of 10% was $23.9 million as of June 28, 2026 and $38.7 million as of December 31, 2025, generally offset by a reduction in foreign exchange associated with our transactional activities.
Commodities—Price Risk Management and Derivative Contracts
We use futures and options contracts and other commodity derivative instruments in combination with forward purchasing of cocoa products, sugar, corn products, certain dairy products, wheat products, natural gas and diesel fuel primarily to mitigate price volatility and provide visibility to future costs within our supply chain. Significant changes impacting our commodity price risk management since our 2025 Annual Report on Form 10-K are described below.
Cocoa Products
During the first six months of 2026, the average cocoa futures contract price was $1.80 per pound, with a trading range of $1.48 to $2.30 per pound, based on the Intercontinental Exchange futures contract. This average cocoa futures contract price represents a decline of approximately 51% compared to the 2025 annual average of $3.65 per pound.
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The cocoa supply-demand outlook has continued to improve substantially in the first six months of 2026. After three years of deficit, the 2024 – 2025 season finished with a supply surplus and the outlook for the 2025 – 2026 season remains positive, with a large surplus predicted by most analysts. Output in all major regions is forecast to grow, including Côte d’Ivoire and Ghana, while demand has been gradually contracting over the last three years. Activity on the two major futures exchanges has also improved during the quarter, with trading volumes approaching more normal levels following considerable declines during the previous two years.
Our costs for cocoa products will not necessarily reflect market price fluctuations because of our forward purchasing and hedging practices (including amount and duration thereof), premiums and discounts reflective of varying delivery times, and supply and demand for our specific varieties and grades of cocoa liquor, cocoa butter and cocoa powder. We generally hedge commodity price risks for 3- to 24-month periods. As a result, the average market prices are not necessarily indicative of our average costs.
Commodity Sensitivity Analysis
Our open commodity derivative contracts had a notional value of $504.1 million as of June 28, 2026 and $973.1 million as of December 31, 2025. At the end of the second quarter of 2026, the potential change in fair value of commodity derivative instruments, assuming a 10% decrease in the underlying commodity price, would have decreased our net unrealized losses by $48.2 million, generally offset by a reduction in the cost of the underlying commodity purchases.
For additional information about our market risks, see Item 7A under Part II of our 2025 Annual Report on Form 10-K.
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