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Item 3 — Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk
Crescent Energy Company · 10-Q · Q2 FY2026 · Period ended Jun 30, 2026
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We are exposed to market risk, including the effects of adverse changes in commodity prices and interest rates as described below. The primary objective of the following information is to provide quantitative and qualitative information about our potential exposure to market risks. The term “market risk” refers to the risk of loss arising from adverse changes in commodity prices and interest rates. The disclosures are not meant to be precise indicators of expected future losses but rather indicators of reasonably possible losses.
Commodity price risk
Our major market risk exposure is in the pricing that we receive for our oil, natural gas and NGLs production.
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Pricing for oil, natural gas and NGLs has been volatile and unpredictable for several years, and we expect this volatility to continue in the future. The prices we receive for our production depend on many factors outside of our control, such as the strength of the global economy and global supply and demand for the commodities we produce.
To reduce the impact of fluctuations in oil, natural gas and NGLs prices on our cash flows, we regularly enter into commodity derivative contracts with respect to certain of our oil, natural gas and NGL production through various transactions that limit the risks of fluctuations of future prices. A key tenet of our focused risk management effort is an active economic hedge strategy to mitigate near-term price volatility while maintaining long-term exposure to underlying commodity prices. Our hedging program allows us to preserve capital and protect margins and corporate returns through commodity cycles and return capital to investors. Future transactions may include price swaps whereby we will receive a fixed price for our production and pay a variable market price to the contract counterparty. Additionally, we may enter into collars, whereby we receive the excess, if any, of the fixed floor over the floating rate or pay the excess, if any, of the floating rate over the fixed ceiling. These economic hedging activities are intended to limit our near-term exposure to product price volatility and to maintain stable cash flows, a strong balance sheet and attractive corporate returns.
As of June 30, 2026, our derivative portfolio had an aggregate notional value of approximately $2.6 billion, and the fair market value of our commodity derivative contracts was a net asset of $37.6 million. We determine the fair value of our oil and natural gas commodity derivatives using valuation techniques that utilize market quotes and pricing analysis. Inputs include publicly available prices and forward price curves generated from a compilation of data gathered from third parties.
Based upon our open commodity derivative positions at June 30, 2026, a hypothetical 10% increase or decrease in the NYMEX WTI, Brent price, Henry Hub Index price, NGL prices and basis prices would change our net commodity derivative position. If prices increased by 10%, our derivative position would change by approximately $179.1 million. If prices decreased by 10%, our derivative position would change by approximately $168.4 million. The hypothetical change in fair value could be a gain or a loss depending on whether commodity prices decrease or increase.
We use derivative instruments and enter into swap contracts which are governed by ISDA master agreements. Amounts not offset on our condensed consolidated balance sheets represent positions that do not meet all of the conditions to be netted on such balance sheet, such as the legally enforceable right of offset or the execution of a master netting arrangement. See Notes to condensed consolidated financial statements, NOTE 4 – Derivatives included in Part I. Item 1. Financial Statements of this Quarterly Report for additional discussion.
Counterparty and customer credit risk
Our cash and cash equivalents are exposed to concentrations of credit risk. We manage and control this risk by investing these funds with major financial institutions. We often have balances in excess of the federally insured limits.
We sell oil, natural gas and NGLs to various types of customers. Credit is extended based on an evaluation of our customer’s financial conditions and historical payment record. The future availability of a ready market for oil, natural gas and NGLs depends on numerous factors outside of our control, none of which can be predicted with certainty.
We do not believe the loss of any single customer would materially impact our operating results because oil, natural gas and NGLs are fungible products with well-established markets and numerous purchasers.
To minimize the credit risk in derivative instruments, it is our policy to enter into derivative contracts only with counterparties that are creditworthy financial institutions deemed by our management as competent and competitive market makers. Additionally, our ISDAs allow us to net positions with the same counterparty to minimize credit risk exposure. The creditworthiness of our counterparties is subject to periodic review.
Interest rate risk
At June 30, 2026, we had no variable rate borrowings outstanding under the Revolving Credit Facility. At June 30, 2026, we had $275.5 million of variable rate borrowings outstanding under the CRF Credit Facility. Assuming no change in the amounts outstanding, the impact on interest expense of a 1% increase or decrease in the average interest rate would be an approximate $1.0 million increase or decrease in interest expense on our variable rate debt outstanding for the six months ended June 30, 2026.
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