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Item 3 — Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk
Newmont Corporation · 10-Q · Q2 FY2026 · Period ended Jun 30, 2026
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(dollars in millions, except per ounce and per pound amounts)
Metal Prices
Changes in the market price of gold significantly affect our profitability and cash flow. Gold prices can fluctuate widely due to numerous factors, such as demand; forward selling by producers; central bank sales, purchases and lending; investor sentiment; the strength of the USD; inflation, deflation, or other general price instability; and global mine production levels. Changes in the market price of copper, silver, lead, and zinc also affect our profitability and cash flow. These metals are traded on established international exchanges and prices generally reflect market supply and demand but can also be influenced by speculative trading in the commodity or by currency exchange rates. The Company does not currently hold instruments that are designated to hedge against the potential impacts due to market price changes in metals. Consideration of these impacts are discussed below.
Decreases in the market price of metals can significantly affect the value of our product inventory, stockpiles and leach pads, and it may be necessary to record a write-down to the net realizable value, as well as significantly impact the carrying value of our long-lived assets and goodwill. Refer to Part II, Item 7 of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025, as filed with the SEC on February 19, 2026, for information regarding the sensitivity of our impairment analyses over long-lived assets and goodwill to changes in metal prices.
Net realizable value represents the estimated future sales price based on short-term and long-term metals prices, less estimated costs to complete production and bring the product to sale. The primary factors that influence the need to record write-downs of our stockpiles, leach pads and product inventory include short-term and long-term metals prices and costs for production inputs such as labor, fuel and energy, materials and supplies as well as realized ore grades and recovery rates. The significant assumptions in determining the stockpile, leach pad and product inventory adjustments for each mine site reporting unit at June 30, 2026 included production cost and capitalized expenditure assumptions unique to each operation, and the following short-term and long-term assumptions:
Short-Term Long-Term
Gold price (per ounce) $ 4,506 $ 3,000
Copper price (per pound) $ 6.05 $ 4.25
Silver price (per ounce) $ 73.15 $ 40.00
Lead price (per pound) $ 0.89 $ 0.90
Zinc price (per pound) $ 1.57 $ 1.25
AUD to USD exchange rate $ 0.71 $ 0.72
CAD to USD exchange rate $ 0.72 $ 0.75
MXN to USD exchange rate $ 0.06 $ 0.06
The net realizable value measurement involves the use of estimates and assumptions unique to each mining operation regarding current and future operating and capital costs, metal recoveries, production levels, commodity prices, proven and probable reserve quantities, engineering data and other factors. A high degree of judgment is involved in determining such assumptions and estimates and no assurance can be given that actual results will not differ significantly from those estimates and assumptions.
Commodity Price Exposure
Our provisional concentrate sales contain an embedded derivative that is required to be separated from the host contract for accounting purposes. The host contract is the receivable from the sale of the respective metal concentrates at the prevailing indices’ prices at the time of sale. The embedded derivative, which is not designated for hedge accounting, is marked-to-market through earnings each period prior to final settlement.
We perform an analysis to determine the potential impact of a 10% adverse change in the provisional pricing on concentrate sales subject to final pricing over the next several months on Net income (loss) attributable to Newmont stockholders. Refer below for our analysis as of June 30, 2026.
Provisionally Priced Sales Subject to Final Pricing (1) Average Provisional Price (per ounce/pound) Effect of 10% change in Average Price (millions) Market Closing Settlement Price (2)(per ounce/pound)
Gold (ounces, in thousands) 97 $ 4,039 $ 27 $ 4,026
Copper (pounds, in millions) 50 $ 6.07 $ 21 $ 6.05
Silver (ounces, in millions) 5 $ 59.62 $ 19 $ 58.80
Lead (pounds, in millions) 39 $ 0.84 $ 2 $ 0.84
Zinc (pounds, in millions) 80 $ 1.62 $ 8 $ 1.62
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(1)Includes provisionally priced by-product sales subject to final pricing, which are recognized as a reduction to Costs applicable to sales.
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(2)The closing settlement price as of June 30, 2026 is determined utilizing the London Metal Exchange for copper, lead, and zinc and the London Bullion Market Association for gold and silver.
Interest Rate Risk
We are subject to interest rate risk related to the fair value of our senior notes which is wholly comprised of fixed rates at June 30, 2026. For fixed rate debt, changes in interest rates generally affect the fair value of the debt instrument, but not our earnings or cash flows. The terms of our fixed rate debt obligations do not generally allow investors to demand payment of these obligations prior to maturity. Therefore, we do not have significant exposure to interest rate risk for our fixed rate debt; however, we do have exposure to potentially material fair value risk if we repurchase or exchange long-term debt prior to maturity. Refer to Note 10 to the Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for further information pertaining to the fair value of our fixed rate debt.
Foreign Currency Exchange Rates
The Company's global operations expose it to foreign currency exchange rates with the most significant being the Australian dollar. We have significant operations and/or assets in the United States, Papua New Guinea, Australia, Ghana, Suriname, Argentina, Dominican Republic, Chile, Peru, Ecuador, Mexico, and Canada. Foreign currency exchange rates can fluctuate widely due to numerous factors, such as supply and demand for foreign and U.S. currencies and U.S. and foreign country economic conditions. Our foreign operations sell their gold, copper, silver, lead, and zinc production based on USD metal prices. Therefore, fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates do not have a material impact on our revenue. Despite selling gold and silver in London, we have no exposure to the euro or the British pound. Fluctuations in the local currency exchange rates in relation to the U.S. dollar can increase or decrease profit margins, cash flow, and Costs applicable to sales to the extent costs are paid in local currency at foreign operations.
For our foreign mining operations, we performed a sensitivity analysis to estimate the impact to Costs applicable to sales arising from a hypothetical 10% adverse movement of local currency exchange rates at June 30, 2026 in relation to the USD, with no mitigation assumed from our foreign currency cash flow hedges. The sensitivity analyses indicated that a hypothetical 10% adverse movement would result in an approximate $250 increase to Costs applicable to sales for the six months ended June 30, 2026.
Hyperinflationary Economies
Hyperinflationary economies are defined by the International Monetary Fund as economies in which the projected three-year cumulative inflation exceeds 100%. At June 30, 2026, Argentina was the only hyperinflationary economy in which the Company held operations.
Our Cerro Negro mine is located in Argentina and is a USD functional currency entity. Beginning in 2020, Argentina’s central bank enacted a number of foreign currency controls in an effort to stabilize the local currency, including requiring the Company to convert USD proceeds from metal sales to local currency within 60 days from shipment date or 20 business days from receipt of cash, whichever happens first, as well as restricting payments to foreign-related entities denominated in foreign currency, such as dividends or distributions to the parent and related companies and royalties and other payments to foreign beneficiaries. These restrictions directly impact Cerro Negro's ability to repay intercompany debt to the Company. In the third quarter of 2024, certain restrictions were lifted or modified, allowing companies to repay intercompany debt in certain circumstances.
In April 2025, the IMF Executive Board approved a 48-month, $20 billion extended arrangement under the Extended Fund Facility for Argentina. Within the program objectives, the IMF expressly mentions transitioning toward exchange rate flexibility, while gradually lifting foreign currency restrictions. The new exchange rate regime allows the Argentine peso to float within a moving band of 1,000 to 1,400 pesos per USD, expanding by 1% monthly at both limits. From January 1, 2026, the floating exchange rate regime between bands will remain in effect, and the monthly rate of adjustment of the upper and lower limits of the exchange rate band will be determined according to the latest monthly inflation data reported by INDEC. The central bank can intervene if the band is breached and may operate in secondary peso markets within the band. This managed float led to an immediate devaluation of the Argentine Peso. Further, a series of foreign currency restrictions have been lifted, including allowing companies to transfer to their foreign shareholders profits and dividends corresponding to fiscal years that began on or after January 1, 2025, provided applicable requirements are met. We continue to monitor the foreign currency exposure risk and the evolution of currency controls, which are currently not expected to have a material impact on our financial statements.
As a result of Argentine foreign exchange controls, entities may access USD through a legal market mechanism commonly referred to as the Blue Chip Swap ("BCS"). In a BCS transaction, an entity purchases USD-denominated securities using Argentine pesos and subsequently sells those securities for USD, either in Argentina or outside Argentina following the transfer of the securities abroad. The resulting implicit exchange rate, referred to as the Blue Chip Swap rate, may differ significantly from Argentina's official exchange rate. In July 2026, the Company began entering into BCS transactions. Foreign currency exchange losses, if any, will be recognized in Other income (loss), net.
Hedging
The Company's hedging instruments consisted of the Cadia Power Purchase Agreement ("Cadia PPA") and foreign currency cash flow hedges at June 30, 2026, which were transacted for risk management purposes. The Cadia PPA mitigates the variability in
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future cash flows related to a portion of power purchases at the Cadia mine and the foreign currency cash flow hedges were entered into to mitigate variability in the USD functional cash flows related to the AUD- and CAD-denominated operating expenditures and AUD-denominated capital expenditures. By using hedges, we are affected by market risk, credit risk, and market liquidity risk. Refer to Note 11 to the Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements for further information on our hedging instruments.
Market Risk
Market risk is the risk that the fair value of a derivative might be adversely affected by a change in commodity prices or currency exchange rates, and that this in turn affects our financial condition. We manage market risk by establishing and monitoring parameters that limit the types and degree of market risk that may be undertaken. We mitigate this potential risk to our financial condition by establishing trading agreements with counterparties under which we are not required to post any collateral or be subject to any margin calls on our derivatives. Our counterparties cannot require settlement solely because of an adverse change in the fair value of a derivative.
We have performed sensitivity analyses as of June 30, 2026 regarding the Cadia PPA and foreign currency cash flow hedges. For the Cadia PPA, we utilized a modeling technique that measures the change in the fair values arising from a hypothetical 10% adverse movement in the forward electricity rates relative to current rates, with all other variables held constant. For the foreign currency cash flow hedges, we utilized a modeling technique that measures the change in the fair values arising from a hypothetical 10% adverse movement in the AUD and CAD foreign currency exchange rates relative to the U.S. dollar, with all other variables held constant. The foreign currency exchange rates we used in performing the sensitivity analysis were based on AUD and CAD market rates in effect at June 30, 2026.
The sensitivity analyses indicated that a hypothetical 10% adverse movement would result in an approximate decrease in the fair value of the Cadia PPA cash flow hedge and the foreign currency cash flow hedges of $35 and $95 at June 30, 2026, respectively.
Credit Risk
Credit risk is the risk that a third party might fail to fulfill its performance obligations under the terms of a financial instrument. We mitigate credit risk by entering into derivatives with high credit quality counterparties, limiting the amount of exposure to each counterparty and monitoring the financial condition of the counterparties.
Market Liquidity Risk
Market liquidity risk is the risk that a derivative cannot be eliminated quickly, by either liquidating it or by establishing an offsetting position. Under the terms of our trading agreements, counterparties cannot require us to immediately settle outstanding derivatives, except upon the occurrence of customary events of default such as covenant breaches, including financial covenants, insolvency or bankruptcy. We further mitigate market liquidity risk by spreading out the maturity of our derivatives over time.