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Item 3 — Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk
Post Holdings, Inc. · 10-Q · Q3 FY2026 · Period ended Jun 30, 2026
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Commodity Price Risk
In the ordinary course of business, the Company is exposed to commodity price risks relating to the purchase of raw materials, including ingredients and packaging, energy and fuel. The Company may use futures contracts and options to manage certain of these exposures when it is practical to do so. A hypothetical 10% change in the market price of the Company’s principal hedged commodities, including natural gas, heating oil, soybean oil, corn, wheat and dairy, would have changed the fair value of the Company’s commodity-related derivatives portfolio by approximately $1 million as of both June 30, 2026 and September 30, 2025. This volatility analysis ignores changes in the exposures inherent in the underlying hedged commodities. Because the Company does not hold or trade derivatives for speculation or profit, all changes in derivative values are effectively offset by corresponding changes in the underlying commodity exposures.
For more information regarding the Company’s commodity derivative contracts, refer to Note 12 within “Notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements.”
Foreign Currency Risk
Related to its foreign subsidiaries, the Company is exposed to risks of fluctuations in future cash flows and earnings due to changes in foreign currency exchange rates. To mitigate these risks, the Company uses a combination of foreign currency exchange contracts, which may consist of options, forward contracts and currency swaps. A hypothetical 10% change in the expected USD-GBP and Euro-GBP foreign currency exchange rates would have changed the fair value of the Company’s foreign currency-related derivatives portfolio by approximately $1 million as of both June 30, 2026 and September 30, 2025.
For additional information regarding the Company’s foreign currency derivative contracts, refer to Note 12 within “Notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements.”
Interest Rate Risk
Long-term debt
As of June 30, 2026, the Company had outstanding principal value of indebtedness of $7,676.0 million related to its senior notes, leaseback financial liabilities and a municipal bond. Of the total $7,676.0 million of outstanding principal value of indebtedness, $7,674.2 million bore interest at a weighted-average fixed interest rate of 5.5%. The Revolving Credit Facility had no outstanding borrowings and an available borrowing capacity of $976.8 million.
As of September 30, 2025, the Company had outstanding principal value of indebtedness of $7,452.2 million related to its senior notes, borrowings under its Revolving Credit Facility, leaseback financial liabilities (excluding amounts classified as held for sale) and a municipal bond. Of the total $7,452.2 million of outstanding indebtedness, $7,009.2 million bore interest at a weighted-average fixed interest rate of 5.3%. The $440.0 million outstanding borrowings under the Revolving Credit Facility bore interest at a weighted-average variable rate of 5.8%, and the Revolving Credit Facility had available borrowing capacity of $537.7 million.
As of June 30, 2026 and September 30, 2025, the fair value of the Company’s debt, excluding any outstanding borrowings under the Revolving Credit Facility, leaseback financial liabilities and a municipal bond, was $7,526.2 million and $6,999.6 million, respectively. Changes in interest rates impact fixed and variable rate debt differently. For fixed rate debt, a change in interest rates will only impact the fair value of the debt, whereas a change in interest rates on variable rate debt will impact interest expense and cash flows. A hypothetical 10% change in interest rates would have changed the fair value of the fixed rate debt by approximately $156 million and $102 million as of June 30, 2026 and September 30, 2025, respectively. A hypothetical 10% change in interest rates would have had an immaterial impact on both interest expense and interest paid on variable rate debt during each of the three and nine months ended June 30, 2026 and 2025.
For additional information regarding the Company’s debt, refer to Note 14 within “Notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements.”
Interest rate swaps
As of both June 30, 2026 and September 30, 2025, the Company had interest rate swaps with a notional value of $300.0 million. A hypothetical 10% change in interest rates would have changed the fair value of the interest rate swaps by approximately $8 million as of both June 30, 2026 and September 30, 2025.
For additional information regarding the Company’s interest rate swap contracts, refer to Note 12 within “Notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements.”
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