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Item 3 — Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk
Warrior Met Coal, Inc. · 10-Q · Q2 FY2026 · Period ended Jun 30, 2026
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Commodity Price Risk
We are exposed to commodity price risk on sales of coal. We typically sell our steelmaking coal under contracts primarily with pricing terms of three months and volume terms of one to three years. Sales commitments in the steelmaking coal market are typically not long-term in nature, and we are, therefore, subject to fluctuations in market pricing.
We occasionally enter into natural gas swap contracts to hedge the exposure to variability in expected future cash flows associated with the fluctuations in the price of natural gas related to our forecasted sales. Our natural gas swap contracts economically hedge certain risk but are not designated as hedges for financial reporting purposes. All changes in the fair value of these derivative instruments are recorded as other revenues in the Consolidated Statements of Operations. Historically, all of our derivative instruments were entered into for hedging purposes rather than speculative trading. As of June 30, 2026, the Company had no gas contracts outstanding.
We have exposure to price risk for supplies that are used directly or indirectly in the normal course of production, such as diesel fuel, steel, tungsten, explosives and other items. We manage our risk for these items through strategic sourcing contracts in normal quantities with our suppliers. We historically have not entered into any derivative commodity instruments to manage the exposure to changing price risk for supplies.
Credit Risk
Financial instruments that potentially subject us to a concentration of credit risk consist principally of trade receivables. We provide our products to customers based on an evaluation of the financial condition of our customers. In some instances, we require letters of credit, cash collateral or prepayments from our customers on or before shipment to mitigate the risk of loss. Exposure to losses on receivables is principally dependent on each customer’s financial condition. We monitor the exposure to credit losses and maintain allowances for anticipated losses. As of June 30, 2026 and December 31, 2025, the estimated allowance for credit losses was immaterial and did not have a material impact on the Company's financial statements.
Interest Rate Risk
We are exposed to market risk from changes in interest rates. Our Notes have a fixed rate of interest of 7.875% per annum and are payable semi-annually in arrears on June 1 and December 1 of each year.
Our Amended ABL Facility bears an interest rate equal to SOFR, or an alternate base rate plus an applicable margin, which is determined based on the average availability of the commitments under the Amended ABL Facility, ranging currently from 150 bps to 200 bps or 50 bps to 100 bps, respectively. Any debt that we incur under the Amended ABL Facility will expose us to interest rate risk. If interest rates increase significantly in the future, our exposure to interest rate risk will increase. As of June 30, 2026, assuming we had $140.5 million outstanding under our Amended ABL Facility, a 100-basis point increase or decrease in interest rates would increase or decrease our annual interest expense under the Amended ABL Facility by approximately $1.4 million.
Impact of Inflation
We have exposure to inflation for supplies that are used directly or indirectly in the normal course of production, such as belt structure, roof bolts, bits, cable, magnetite, rock dust and other supplies, plus labor and parts on repair and rebuild equipment. These inflationary pressures have contributed to rising costs for us and may continue to do so in the future. We are applying a number of different strategies to mitigate the impact of inflation on our operations, including placing purchase orders earlier, utilizing short term contracts and leveraging our supplier relationships.
Tariff Risks
We are exposed to the impact of tariffs. New and existing tariffs as well as other trade measures that may be implemented by the U.S. or retaliatory trade measures or tariffs implemented by other countries could result in reduced economic activity, increased costs in operating our business, reduced demand and/or changes in purchasing behavior for steelmaking coal, disruptions in our supply chain, material changes in the pricing of steelmaking coal, limits on trade with the United States or other potentially adverse economic outcomes. We continue to analyze the impact of tariffs on our business and actions we can take to minimize their impact.
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