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Item 11 — Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk
Weibo Corporation · 20-F · FY 2025 · Period ended Dec 31, 2025
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Foreign Exchange Risk
The conversion of Renminbi into other currencies, including U.S. dollars, is based on rates set by the People’s Bank of China. The Renminbi has fluctuated against other currencies, at times significantly and unpredictably. The value of Renminbi against other currencies is affected by changes in China’s political and economic conditions and by China’s foreign exchange policies, among other things. It is difficult to predict how market forces or government policies may impact the exchange rate between Renminbi and other currencies in the future. To date, we have not entered into any hedging transactions in an effort to reduce our exposure to foreign currency exchange risk.
Our revenues and costs and expenses are mostly denominated in RMB, and a significant portion of our financial assets are also denominated in RMB, whereas our reporting currency is the U.S. dollars. Any significant depreciation of the RMB may materially and adversely affect our revenues, earnings and financial position as reported in U.S. dollars. To the extent that we need to convert U.S. dollars we received from our financing activities into RMB for our operations, appreciation of the RMB against the U.S. dollars would have an adverse effect on the RMB amount we would receive from the conversion. Conversely, if we decide to convert our RMB into U.S. dollars for the purpose of making payments for dividends on our ordinary shares or ADSs, repaying the principal and interest of our 2030 Senior Notes, 2027 Loans and 2030 Convertible Notes, which are all denominated in U.S. dollars, or for other business purposes, appreciation of the U.S. dollars against the RMB would have a negative effect on the U.S. dollars amount available to us.
Below is a sensitivity analysis on the impact of a change in the value of the RMB against the U.S. dollars assuming: (1) projected net income from operation in China equal to the net income of 2025, (2) projected net assets of the operation in China equal to the balances in RMB and U.S. dollars as of December 31, 2025 and (3) currency fluctuation occurs proportionately over the period:
Translation
Adjustments to Transaction Gain
Change in the Value of RMB Against the U.S. Dollars Comprehensive Income /(Loss)
(In US$ thousands)
Appreciate 2% 69,676 (201)
Appreciate 5% 174,373 (502)
Depreciate 2% (69,575) 201
Depreciate 5% (173,741) 502
Interest Rate Risk
Our main interest rate exposure relates to our indebtedness and interest-bearing assets, including cash and cash equivalents, short term investments, and long-term wealth management products. We have not used any derivative financial instruments to manage our interest risk exposure. However, our future interest income may fall short of expectations or our interest expense may increase due to changes in market interest rates.
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Investment Risk
As of December 31, 2025, our equity investments totaled US$1,663.3 million. We measure investments in equity securities other than equity method investments at fair value through earnings. For those investments without readily determinable fair values, we elected to record these investments at cost, less impairment, and plus or minus subsequent adjustments for observable price changes (referred to as the measurement alternative). Changes in the basis of these investments are reported in current earnings. We recognized fair value change gain of US$21.3 million in equity securities other than equity method investments for the year ended December 31, 2025.
Our investments other than equity method are subject to a wide variety of market related risks that could substantially reduce or increase the fair value of our holdings. Investments using measurement alternative methods are investments in privately held companies and limited partnerships. Valuations of our investments in private companies and limited partnerships are inherently more complex due to the lack of readily available market data. The fair value is measured at the time of the observable transaction, which is not necessarily an indication of the current fair value as of the balance sheet date. These investments, especially those in the early stages, are inherently risky because the technologies or products these companies have under development are typically in the early phases and may never materialize and they may experience deterioration in financial condition, which could result in a loss of a substantial part of our investment in these companies. The success of our investment in any private company or limited partnership is also dependent on the likelihood of our ability to realize value in our investments through liquidity events such as public offerings, acquisitions, private sales or other favorable market events reflecting appreciation to the cost of our initial investment. Volatility in the global economic climate and financial markets could also result in a significant impairment charge on our non-marketable equity securities. As of December 31, 2025, the carrying value of our investments using measurement alternative method was US$291.7 million.
The carrying values of our equity method investments generally do not fluctuate due to market price changes, however these investments could be impaired if the carrying value exceeds the fair value.
We periodically review our investments for impairment. Factors we consider to make such determination include the duration and severity of the impairment, the reason for the decline in value, the potential recovery period, and our intent to sell, or whether it is more likely than not that we will be required to sell, the investment before recovery. We recorded US$6.0 million of investment related impairment charges for the year ended December 31, 2025. We are unable to control these factors and an impairment charge we recognized will unfavorably impact our operating results and financial position.
Our short-term investments as of December 31, 2025 totaled US$106.1 million, which were composed of bank time deposits whose original maturities are of greater than three months but less than one year and wealth management products which are certain deposits with variable interest rates or principal not-guaranteed with certain financial institutions.