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Item 3 — Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk
Western Alliance Bancorporation · 10-Q · Q2 FY2026 · Period ended Jun 30, 2026
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Market risk is the risk of loss in a financial instrument arising from adverse changes in market prices and rates, foreign currency exchange rates, commodity prices, and equity prices. The Company's market risk arises primarily from interest rate risk inherent in its lending, investing, and deposit taking activities. To that end, management actively monitors and manages the Company's interest rate risk exposure.
Management uses various strategies to manage the re-pricing characteristics of the Company's assets and liabilities, all of which are designed to ensure that exposure to interest rate fluctuations is within the Company's guidelines of acceptable levels of risk-taking. Hedging strategies, including the terms and pricing of loans and deposits and management of the deployment of its securities, are used to reduce mismatches in interest rate repricing opportunities of portfolio assets and their funding sources. Derivatives in a hedging relationship are also used to minimize the Company's exposure to changes in benchmark interest rates based on impacts to net interest income and EVE, which are reflected in the model results discussed below.
Interest rate risk is governed by ALCO, which includes members of executive management, finance, and operations. ALCO monitors interest rate risk by analyzing the potential impact on EVE and earnings from potential changes in interest rates and considers the impact of alternative strategies or changes in balance sheet structure. The Company manages its balance sheet in part to keep the potential impact on EVE and earnings within acceptable ranges despite changes in interest rates.
The Company's exposure to interest rate risk is reviewed at least quarterly by ALCO. Interest rate risk exposure is measured using interest rate sensitivity analysis to determine its change in both EVE and earnings in the event of hypothetical changes in interest rates. If potential changes to EVE and earnings resulting from hypothetical interest rate changes are not within the limits established by the BOD or, ALCO determines that interest rate exposures should be reduced, ALCO will either take hedging actions or adjust the asset and liability mix to bring interest rate risk within BOD-approved limits or in line with ALCO's proposed reduction. ALCO may also decide the best course of action for a limit breach is to accept the breach and present justification to the BOD. If the BOD does not agree to accept the limit breach, it will direct ALCO to remediate the breach. The Company's EaR and EVE exposure limits are approved by the BOD on an annual basis, or more often if market conditions warrant. During the six months ended June 30, 2026, there have been no changes to the Company's exposure limits.
Net Interest Income Simulation. To measure interest rate risk at June 30, 2026, the Company used a simulation model to project changes in net interest income resulting from forecasted changes in interest rates. This analysis calculates the difference between a baseline net interest income forecast using forward yield curves, compared to forecasted net interest income results from an immediate, parallel shift in rates upward or downward, along with other scenarios directed by ALCO. The simulation model includes various assumptions regarding repricing relationships for each of the Company's products. Many of the Company's assets are variable rate loans, which are assumed to reprice at the next rate reset period and, proportional to the change in market rates, depending on their contracted index, including the impact of caps or floors. The simulation model also incorporates prepayment assumptions for applicable loans and investments with such optionality. The Company's non-term deposits reprice to underlying market rate changes based on product and line of business level model assumptions. Current non-term deposit repricing assumptions result in a product-level beta range of 45% to 86%, depending on product, with an average beta of 53%.
This analysis illustrates the impact of changes in net interest income for the given set of rate changes and assumptions. It does not account for all factors that could impact the Company's results, including changes by management to mitigate interest rate changes or secondary factors, such as changes to the Company's credit risk profile as interest rates change. The results will also be impacted by seasonality in the balance sheet. Furthermore, loan prepayment rate estimates and spread relationships change regularly. These assumptions are inherently uncertain and as a result, actual results may differ from simulated results due to factors such as timing, magnitude and frequency of interest rate changes as well as changes in market conditions, customer behavior, management strategies, and changes that vary significantly from the modeled assumptions may have a significant effect on the Company's actual net interest income.
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The table below presents the changes in net interest income that would occur in response to an instantaneous and sustained increase or decrease (shock) in market interest rates based on a dynamic balance sheet. In addition, the table provides results from additional scenarios in response to gradual, parallel changes (ramp) in market interest rates over twelve months. The Company continues to evaluate the scenarios that are presented as interest rates change and will update these scenario disclosures as appropriate.
Sensitivity of Net Interest Income
Interest Rate Scenario
Down 200 Down 100 Up 100 Up 200
(change in basis points from Base)
Parallel Shock Scenario (8.6) % (5.2) % 5.9 % 11.8 %
Gradual Ramp Scenario (5.1) % (2.7) % 3.2 % 6.3 %
Earnings-at-Risk. The Company’s EaR simulation model expands on its net interest income simulation, as described above, by adding certain rate-sensitive non-interest income and expense items also subject to market risk, including mortgage banking and servicing income and certain deposit costs. Mortgage originations and prepayments are sensitive to interest rates and therefore, mortgage banking and servicing income can be impacted by changes in interest rates. In the Company’s EaR simulation model as of June 30, 2026, deposits eligible for ECRs re-price with a beta assumption of 70% to underlying market rate changes, and total non-maturity deposits, inclusive of ECRs, re-price with a weighted average beta assumption of 59%. Both beta estimates include the portion of mortgage warehouse related ECRs that are recorded as a reduction to interest income. At June 30, 2026, the Company’s earnings exposure for the next twelve months related to these hypothetical changes in market interest rates was within the Company’s current limits.
Economic Value of Equity. The Company measures the impact of market interest rate changes on the NPV of estimated cash flows from its assets, liabilities, and off-balance sheet items, defined as EVE, using a simulation model. The Company's simulation model focuses on parallel interest rate shocks and takes into account assumptions related to loan prepayment trends that are sourced using a combination of third-party prepayment models and internal historical experience, terminal maturity for non-maturity deposits, account attrition, and pricing sensitivity derived from the Company's data and other internally-developed analysis and models. These assumptions are reviewed at least annually and are adjusted periodically to reflect changes in market conditions and the Company's balance sheet composition. As simulated model results are based on a number of assumptions outlined above, including forecasted market conditions, actual amounts may differ significantly from the projections set forth below should market conditions vary from the underlying assumptions.
This simulation model assesses the changes in the market value of interest rate sensitive financial instruments that would occur in response to an instantaneous and sustained increase or decrease (shock) in market interest rates. The Company continues to evaluate the scenarios that are presented as interest rates change and will update these scenario disclosures as appropriate.
The following table shows the Company's projected change in EVE for this set of rate shocks at June 30, 2026:
Economic Value of Equity
Interest Rate Scenario
Down 200 Down 100 Up 100 Up 200
(change in basis points from Base)
% Change 4.4 % 2.7 % (4.4) % (10.5) %
At June 30, 2026, the Company's EVE exposure related to these hypothetical changes in market interest rates was within the Company's current limits.
Derivative Contracts. In the normal course of business, the Company uses derivative instruments to meet the needs of its customers and manage exposure to fluctuations in interest rates. For additional discussion on how derivatives in a hedging relationship (fair value hedges) are used to manage the Company's interest rate risk, see "Note 12. Derivatives and Hedging Activities" to the Unaudited Consolidated Financial Statements.
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