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Item 11 — Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk
Baidu, Inc. · 20-F · FY 2025 · Period ended Dec 31, 2025
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Interest Rate Risk
Our exposure to interest rate risk primarily relates to excess cash invested in short-term investments, long-term investments and bank facilities that have a floating rate of interest.
Investments in both fixed rate and floating rate interest earning instruments carry a degree of interest rate risk. Fixed rate investments may have their fair market value adversely impacted due to a rise in interest rates, while floating rate investments may produce less income than expected if interest rates fall. Due in part to these factors, our future investment income may fall short of expectations due to changes in interest rates, or we may suffer losses in principal if we have to sell securities which have declined in market value due to changes in interest rates. For example, as of December 31, 2025, we had RMB214.5 billion (US$30.7 billion) of short-term investments and long-term time deposits and held-to-maturity investments, with a weighted average duration of 1.5 years. A hypothetical one percentage point (100 basis-point) increase in interest rates would have resulted in a decrease of RMB1.3 billion (US$190 million) in the fair value of our short-term investments and long-term time deposits and held-to-maturity investments as of December 31, 2025. We have not been, and do not expect to be, exposed to material interest rate risks relating to our short-term investments and long-term time deposits and held-to-maturity investments, and therefore have not used any derivative financial instruments to manage such interest risk exposure. Our exposure to interest rate risk also arises from our bank facilities that have a floating rate of interest. The costs of floating rate borrowings may be affected by the fluctuations in the interest rates. We manage this risk through the use of interest rate swap contracts. In connection with the loan facilities entered into in April 2021, we entered into two interest rate swap agreements, as amended, which effectively convert the term loans from a variable interest rate to a fixed rate, thereby managing our exposure to changes in market interest rates under the term loans. See “Item 5.B. Operating and Financial Review and Prospects—Liquidity and Capital Resources.”
Foreign Exchange Risk
Most of our revenue and costs are denominated in RMB, while a portion of our material assets and liabilities, such as cash and cash equivalents, restricted cash, short-term investments, long-term investments, long-term time deposits and held-to-maturity investments, notes payable, long-term loans and convertible senior notes, are denominated in U.S. dollars. Any significant revaluation of RMB against the U.S. dollar may materially affect our cash flows, revenue, earnings and financial position, and the value of, and any dividends payable on, our ADS in U.S. dollars. See “Item 3.D. Key Information—Risk Factors—Risks Related to Doing Business in China—Fluctuation in exchange rates could have a material and adverse effect on our results of operations and the value of your investment.” In addition, we have operations in Japan. We may need to make capital injections into our Japan operations by converting U.S. dollars into Japanese Yen, and we have JPY-denominated revenue and expenses that we may need to translate into U.S. dollars, which will expose us to the fluctuations in the exchange rate between the U.S. dollar and the Japanese Yen. In 2025, we entered into some hedging transactions in an effort to reduce our exposure to foreign currency exchange risk. The value of your investment in our ADSs or Class A ordinary shares will be affected by the exchange rate between the U.S. dollar and the Renminbi or the Hong Kong dollar and the Renminbi, as applicable, because the value of our business is effectively denominated in RMB, while our ADSs or Class A ordinary shares will be traded in U.S. dollars or Hong Kong dollars, as applicable.
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The conversion of Renminbi into foreign currencies, including U.S. dollars, is based on rates set by the People’s Bank of China. The Renminbi has fluctuated against the U.S. dollar, at times significantly and unpredictably. It is difficult to predict how market forces or PRC or U.S. government policy may impact the exchange rate between Renminbi and U.S. dollar in the future.
To the extent that we need to convert U.S. dollars into Renminbi for our operations, appreciation of the Renminbi against the U.S. dollar would have an adverse effect on the RMB amount we receive from the conversion. Conversely, if we decide to convert Renminbi into U.S. dollars for the purpose of making payments for dividends on our ordinary shares or ADSs, repaying indebtedness denominated in U.S. dollars, or for other business purposes, appreciation of the U.S. dollar against the Renminbi would have a negative effect on the U.S. dollar amounts available to us.
As of December 31, 2025, we had RMB-denominated cash and cash equivalents, restricted cash, short-term investments and long-term time deposits and held-to-maturity investments of RMB150.4 billion, and U.S. dollar-denominated cash and cash equivalents, restricted cash, short-term investments and long-term time deposits and held-to-maturity investments of US$12.5 billion. Assuming we had converted RMB150.4 billion into U.S. dollars at the exchange rate of RMB6.9931 for US$1.00 as of December 31, 2025, our U.S. dollar cash balance would have been US$34.0 billion. If the RMB had depreciated by 10% against the U.S. dollar, our U.S. dollar cash balance would have been US$31.9 billion instead. In addition, we had U.S. dollar-denominated long-term loans (including current portion), notes payable (including current portion) and convertible senior notes (including current portion) of US$8.9 billion as of December 31, 2025. A hypothetical 10% increase in the exchange rate of the U.S. dollar against the RMB would have resulted in an increase of RMB6.2 billion (US$893 million) in the value of our U.S. dollar-denominated long-term loans (including current portion), notes payable (including current portion) and convertible senior notes (including current portion) as of December 31, 2025.