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Item 11 — Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk
Spotify Technology S.a. · 20-F · FY 2025 · Period ended Dec 31, 2025
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Our activities expose us to a variety of market risks. Our primary market risk exposures relate to currency, interest rate, share price, investment, and inflation risks. To manage these risks and our exposure to the unpredictability of financial markets, we seek to minimize potential adverse effects on our financial performance and capital.
Volatile market conditions caused by significant events with macroeconomic impacts, including, but not limited to, slower growth or recession, inflation, changes in interest rates, changes in trade and tax policies, geopolitical conflicts, and related market uncertainty, may result in significant changes in foreign exchange rates, interest rates, and share prices, both our own and those of third parties we use to value certain of our long term investments. Refer to Part I. “Item 3.D. Risk Factors” in this document for further discussion.
Financial risk management
Our operations are exposed to financial risks. To manage these risks efficiently, we have established guidelines in the form of a treasury policy that serves as a framework for our daily financial operations. The treasury policy stipulates the rules and limitations for the management of financial risks.
Financial risk management is centralized within Treasury, which is responsible for the management of financial risks. Treasury manages and executes the financial management activities, including monitoring the exposure of financial risks, cash management, and maintaining a liquidity reserve. Treasury operates within the limits and policies authorized by the board of directors.
Currency risk
Currency risk manifests itself in transaction exposure, which relates to business transactions denominated in foreign currency required by operations (purchasing and selling) and/or financing (interest and amortization). The volatility in foreign exchange rates, in particular a weakening of foreign currencies relative to the Euro, may negatively affect our revenue. Our general policy is to hedge transaction exposure on a case-by-case basis. Translation exposure relates to net investments in foreign operations. We do not conduct translation risk hedging.
Transaction exposure sensitivity
In most cases, our customers are billed in their respective local currency. Major payments, such as salaries, consultancy fees, and rental fees are settled in local currencies. Royalty payments are primarily settled in Euros and U.S. dollars. Hence, the operational need to net purchase foreign currency is due primarily to a deficit from such settlements.
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The table below shows the immediate impact on income before tax of a 10% strengthening of foreign currencies relative to the Euro in the closing exchange rate of significant currencies to which we have transaction exposure at December 31, 2025. The impact on income before tax is due primarily to monetary assets and liabilities in a transactional currency other than the functional currency of a subsidiary within the Group. The sensitivity associated with a 10% weakening of a particular currency would be equal and opposite. This assumes that each currency moves in isolation.
2025 Swedish krona (SEK) British pound (GBP) U.S. dollar (USD)
(in € millions)
Decrease in income before tax (14) (26) (31)
Translation exposure sensitivity
The impact on our equity would be approximately €276 million if the Euro weakened by 10% against all translation exposure currencies, based on the exposure at December 31, 2025.
Interest rate risk
Interest rate risk is the risk that changes in interest rates will have a negative impact on earnings and cash flows. Our exposure to interest rate risk is related to our interest-bearing assets, including our cash and cash equivalents and our short term debt securities. Fluctuations in interest rates impact the yield of the investment. The sensitivity analysis considered the historical volatility of short term interest rates and we determined that it was reasonably possible that a change of 100 basis points could be experienced in the near term. A hypothetical 100 basis point decrease or increase in interest rates would have resulted in a change in interest income earned on our cash and cash equivalents and short term investments of €85 million for the year ended December 31, 2025.
Share price risk
Share price risk is the risk that the fair value or future cash flows of a financial instrument will fluctuate due to changes in the fair value of the Company’s ordinary share price. Our exposure to this risk relates primarily to the Exchangeable Notes and accrual for social costs on outstanding share-based compensation awards.
A 10% decrease or increase in the Company’s ordinary share price would have resulted in a fair value of the Exchangeable Notes ranging from €1,408 million to €1,520 million at December 31, 2025.
A 10% decrease or increase in the Company’s ordinary share price would have resulted in a change of €29 million or €30 million, respectively, in the accrual for social costs on outstanding share-based compensation awards at December 31, 2025.
Investment risk
We are exposed to investment risk as it relates to changes in the market value of our long term investments, due primarily to volatility in the share price used to measure the investment and exchange rates. The majority of our long term investments relate to TME. A 10% decrease or increase in TME’s share price would have resulted in the fair value of the Group’s long term investment in TME ranging from €1,900 million to €2,322 million at December 31, 2025.
Inflation risk
Inflationary factors, such as increases in costs, may adversely affect our results of operations. If our costs were to become subject to significant inflationary pressures, we may not be able to fully offset such higher costs through price increases for our Subscription Offerings or sale of advertisements. Our inability or failure to do so could harm our business, operating results, and financial condition.