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Item 3 — Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk
Customers Bancorp, Inc. · 10-Q · Q2 FY2026 · Period ended Jun 30, 2026
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Interest Rate Sensitivity
The largest part of Customers’ net income is net interest income, and the majority of its financial instruments are interest rate sensitive assets and liabilities with various term structures and maturities. One of the primary goals of management is to optimize net interest income while minimizing interest rate risk. Interest rate risk is derived from timing differences in the repricing of assets and liabilities, loan prepayments, deposit withdrawals and differences in lending and funding rates. Customers’ asset/liability committee actively looks to monitor and control the economic impact of changes in interest rates on the mix of interest rate sensitive assets and interest rate sensitive liabilities.
Customers uses two complementary methods to effectively measure and manage interest rate risk. The two types of simulation analysis used to determine the impact of changes in interest rates under various hypothetical interest rate scenarios are income scenario modeling and estimates of economic value (EVE). The combination of these two methods supplies a reasonably comprehensive summary of the levels of interest rate risk of Customers’ exposure to time factors and changes in interest rate environments.
Income scenario modeling is used to measure interest rate sensitivity and manage interest rate risk over a near term horizon. Income scenario considers not only the impact of changing market interest rates upon forecasted net interest income but also other factors such as yield curve relationships, the volume and mix of assets and liabilities, customer preferences and general market conditions.
Through the use of income scenario modeling, Customers has estimated the net interest income for the twelve months ending June 30, 2027 and December 31, 2026, based upon the assets, liabilities and off-balance sheet financial instruments including derivatives in existence at June 30, 2026 and December 31, 2025.
Customers has also estimated changes to that projected twelve-month net interest income based upon implied forward interest rates rising or falling immediately (“rate shocks”). For upward rate shocks modeling a rising rate environment at June 30, 2026 and December 31, 2025, Customers used a parallel and sustained shift in interest rates, in which the base market interest rate forecast was immediately increased by 100, 200, and 300 basis points. For downward rate shocks modeling a falling rate environment at June 30, 2026 and December 31, 2025, Customers used a parallel and sustained shift in interest rates, in which the base market interest rate forecast was immediately decreased by 100, 200 and 300 basis points. The following table reflects the estimated percentage change in projected twelve-month net interest income under the rate shocks versus the base projected net interest income for the twelve months ending June 30, 2027 and December 31, 2026, resulting from changes in interest rates:
Net change in net interest income
% change from base
Rate Shocks June 30, 2026 December 31, 2025
Up 3% 5.9% 4.4%
Up 2% 4.3% 3.0%
Up 1% 2.3% 1.3%
Down 1% (0.6)% (0.8)%
Down 2% (2.0)% (2.7)%
Down 3% (3.7)% (4.4)%
88
EVE considers a longer-term horizon and estimates the hypothetical discounted net present value of asset and liability cash flows. Discount rates are based upon market prices for comparable assets and liabilities. Upward and downward rate shocks are used to measure sensitivity of EVE in relation to a constant rate environment using implied forward interest rates. For upward rate shocks modeling a rising rate environment at June 30, 2026 and December 31, 2025, current market interest rates were shocked by a parallel and sustained shift in interest rates, in which the base market interest rate forecast was immediately increased by 100, 200, and 300 basis points. For downward rate shocks modeling a falling rate environment at June 30, 2026 and December 31, 2025, current market interest rates were shocked by a parallel and sustained shift in interest rates, in which the base market interest rate forecast was immediately decreased by 100, 200 and 300 basis points. This method of measurement primarily evaluates the longer term repricing risks and embedded options in Customers Bank’s balance sheet. The following table reflects the estimated change in EVE at June 30, 2026 and December 31, 2025, resulting from shocks to interest rates:
% change from base
Rate Shocks June 30, 2026 December 31, 2025
Up 3% (11.1)% (9.5)%
Up 2% (7.0)% (5.8)%
Up 1% (3.2)% (2.4)%
Down 1% 2.6% 2.4%
Down 2% 5.9% 5.7%
Down 3% 9.4% 10.1%
Management believes that the assumptions and combination of methods used in evaluating interest rate risk are reasonable. However, the interest rate sensitivity of our assets, liabilities and off-balance sheet financial instruments, as well as the estimated effect of changes in interest rates on estimated net interest income, could vary substantially if different assumptions are used or actual experience differs from the assumptions used in the model.