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Item 3 — Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk
Southside Bancshares Inc. · 10-Q · Q2 FY2026 · Period ended Jun 30, 2026
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The disclosures set forth in this item are qualified by the section captioned “Forward-Looking Statements” included in “Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” of this report and other cautionary statements set forth elsewhere in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q.
Refer to the discussion of market risks included in “Item 7A. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk” in the 2025 Form 10-K.
In the banking industry, a major risk exposure is changing interest rates. The primary objective of monitoring our interest rate sensitivity, or risk, is to provide management the tools necessary to manage the balance sheet to minimize adverse changes in net interest income as a result of changes in the direction and level of interest rates. Federal Reserve monetary control efforts, the effects of deregulation, inflation, economic uncertainty and legislative changes have been significant factors affecting the task of managing interest rate sensitivity positions in recent years.
In an attempt to manage our exposure to changes in interest rates, management closely monitors our exposure to interest rate risk through our ALCO. Our ALCO meets regularly and reviews our interest rate risk position and makes recommendations to our board for adjusting this position. In addition, our board regularly reviews our asset/liability position. We primarily use two methods for measuring and analyzing interest rate risk: net income simulation analysis and MVPE modeling. We utilize the net income simulation model as the primary quantitative tool in measuring the amount of interest rate risk associated with changing market rates. This model quantifies the effects of various interest rate scenarios on projected net interest income and net income over the next 12 months. The model is used to measure the impact on net interest income relative to a base case scenario of rates immediately increasing 100 and 200 basis points or decreasing 50, 100 and 200 basis points over the next 12 months. These simulations incorporate assumptions regarding balance sheet growth and mix, pricing and the repricing and maturity characteristics of the existing and projected balance sheet. The impact of interest rate-related risks such as prepayment, basis and option risk are also considered. The model has interest rate floors and no interest rates are assumed to go negative. We continue to monitor interest rates and anticipate rate changes during the remainder of 2026.
The following table reflects the noted increases and decreases in interest rates under the model simulations and the anticipated impact on net interest income relative to the base case over the next 12 months for the periods presented.
Anticipated impact over the next 12 months
June 30,
Rate projections: 2026 2025
Increase:
100 basis points 2.22 % 2.69 %
200 basis points 4.52 % 5.34 %
Decrease:
50 basis points (1.54) % (0.65) %
100 basis points (2.79) % (1.06) %
200 basis points (6.11) % (1.51) %
As part of the overall assumptions, certain assets and liabilities are given reasonable floors. This type of simulation analysis requires numerous assumptions including but not limited to changes in balance sheet mix, prepayment rates on mortgage-related assets and fixed rate loans, cash flows and repricing of all financial instruments, changes in volumes and pricing, future shapes of the yield curve, relationship of market interest rates to each other (basis risk), credit spread and deposit sensitivity. Assumptions are based on management’s best estimates but may not accurately reflect actual results under certain changes in interest rates.
Southside Bancshares, Inc. |65
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Ongoing tariff negotiations and conflict in the Middle East have caused some uncertainty related to inflation levels, energy and gas prices, and their impact on interest rates and the overall economy, including the economy in the state of Texas. While it is too early to discern the likely outcome of these tariff negotiations and military conflicts, the current economic conditions and growth prospects for our markets continue to reflect a solid and overall positive outlook. Higher inflation levels, including higher energy and gas prices, and interest rate fluctuations could have a negative impact on both our consumer and commercial borrowers in the future.
The ALCO monitors various liquidity ratios to ensure a satisfactory liquidity position. Management continually evaluates the condition of the economy, the pattern of market interest rates and other economic data to determine the types of investments that should be made and at what maturities. Using this analysis, management from time to time assumes calculated interest sensitivity gap positions to maximize net interest income based upon anticipated movements in the general level of interest rates. Regulatory authorities also monitor our gap position along with other liquidity ratios. In addition, as described above, we utilize a simulation model to determine the impact of net interest income under several different interest rate scenarios. By utilizing this model, we can determine changes that could be made to the asset and liability mix to mitigate the change in net interest income under these various interest rate scenarios.