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Item 2 — Management's Discussion and Analysis
Churchill Capital Corp XI · 10-Q · Q2 FY2026 · Period ended Jun 30, 2026
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Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements
All statements other than statements of historical fact included in this Report including, without limitation, statements under this Item regarding our financial position, possible Business Combinations and the financing thereof, and related matters, and the plans and objectives of Management for future operations, are forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act and Section 21E of the Exchange Act. When used in this Report, words such as “may,” “should,” “could,” “would,” “anticipate,” “believe,” “estimate,” “expect,” “intend” and similar expressions, as they relate to us or our Management, identify forward-looking statements. We have based these forward-looking statements on our Management’s current expectations and projections about future events, as well as assumptions made by, and information currently available to our Management. Actual results could differ materially from those contemplated by the forward-looking statements as a result of certain factors detailed in our filings with the SEC. All subsequent written or oral forward-looking statements attributable to us or persons acting on our behalf are qualified in their entirety by this paragraph.
The following discussion and analysis of our financial condition and results of operations should be read in conjunction with the unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements and the notes thereto included in this Report under Item 1. “Financial Statements.”
Overview
We are a blank check company incorporated in the Cayman Islands on June 4, 2025 for the purpose of effecting a Business Combination. Our Sponsor is Churchill Sponsor XI LLC.
Our IPO Registration Statement became effective on December 16, 2025. On December 18, 2025, we consummated our Initial Public Offering of 41,400,000 Public Units, including 5,400,000 Option Units issued pursuant to the full exercise of the Over-Allotment Option. Each Public Unit consists of one Public Share and one-tenth of one Public Warrant, with each whole Public Warrant entitling the holder thereof to purchase one Class A Ordinary Share for $11.50 per share. The Public Units were sold at a price of $10.00 per Public Unit, generating gross proceeds to our Company of $414,000,000.
Simultaneously with the closing of the Initial Public Offering and pursuant to the Private Placement Units Purchase Agreement, we completed the private sale of 500,000 Private Placement Units to our Sponsor in the Private Placement at a purchase price of $10.00 per Private Placement Unit, generating gross proceeds to our Company of $5,000,000. The Private Placement Units (and underlying securities) are identical to the Public Units (and underlying securities), except as otherwise disclosed in the IPO Registration Statement.
Following the closing of the Initial Public Offering and Private Placement, an amount of $414,000,000 from the net proceeds of the Initial Public Offering and the Private Placement was initially placed in the Trust Account located in the United States with Continental acting as trustee. Pursuant to the Trust Agreement, the Trust Account may be invested only (i) in U.S. government securities within the meaning of Section 2(a)(16) of the Investment Company Act, having a maturity of 185 days or less, (ii) in money market funds meeting the conditions of paragraphs (d)(1), (d)(2), (d)(3) and (d)(4) of Rule 2a-7 promulgated under the Investment Company Act, which invest only in direct U.S. government treasury obligations, (iii) as uninvested cash or (iv) in an interest or non-interest bearing demand deposit account at a U.S. chartered commercial bank with consolidated assets of $100 billion or more selected by Continental that is reasonably satisfactory to us, until the earlier of: (x) the completion of the Business Combination and (y) the distribution of the Trust Account, as described below.
We have until March 18, 2028 (27 months from the closing of the Initial Public Offering since we have executed a definitive agreement for an initial Business Combination within 24 months from the closing of the Initial Public Offering), or until such (x) earlier date as our Board may approve or (y) later date as our shareholders may approve, pursuant to the Amended and Restated Articles, to consummate the Business Combination. If we are unable to complete the Business Combination by the end of the Combination Period, we will (i) cease all operations except for the purpose of winding up, (ii) as promptly as reasonably possible, but not more than ten business days thereafter, redeem the Public Shares, at a per-share price, payable in cash, equal to the aggregate amount then on deposit in the Trust Account including interest earned on the funds held in the Trust Account and net of Permitted Withdrawals, if any, divided by the number of then outstanding Public Shares, which redemption will completely extinguish Public Shareholders’ rights as shareholders (including the right to receive further liquidating distributions, if any), subject to applicable law, and (iii) as promptly as reasonably possible following such redemption, subject to the approval of our remaining shareholders and our Board, dissolve and liquidate, subject, in each case, to our obligations under Cayman Islands law to provide for claims of creditors and the requirements of other applicable law.
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We may seek to extend the Combination Period consistent with applicable laws, regulations and stock exchange rules by amending our Amended and Restated Articles. Any such amendment would require the approval of our shareholders, and our Public Shareholders will be provided the opportunity to redeem all or a portion of their Public Shares in connection with the vote on such approval. Such redemptions will decrease the amount held in our Trust Account and our capitalization, and may affect our ability to maintain our listing on Nasdaq. In addition, the Nasdaq Rules currently require SPACs (such as us) to complete their initial Business Combination in accordance with the Nasdaq 36-Month Requirement. If we do not meet the Nasdaq 36-Month Requirement, our securities will likely be subject to suspension of trading and delisting from Nasdaq.
We expect to continue to incur significant costs in the pursuit of our acquisition plans. We cannot assure that our plans to complete the Business Combination will be successful.
Recent Developments
On July 2, 2026, the Company issued the July 2026 Note to the Sponsor, to fund the Company’s working capital needs. The July 2026 Note does not bear interest and matures upon the earlier of the closing of an initial business combination by the Company and the Company’s liquidation. Amounts outstanding under the July 2026 Note are convertible, at the option of the Sponsor, into Conversion Units at a conversion price of $10.00 per unit.
On July 7, 2026, the Company paid the Underwriter $1,500,000 of the underwriting fee payable in connection with the Initial Public Offering that was deferred and conditioned upon the announcement by the Company that it has entered into a definitive Business Combination Agreement.
On August 7, 2026, the Company issued the August 2026 Note to the Sponsor, to fund the Company’s working capital needs. The August 2026 Note does not bear interest and matures upon the earlier of the closing of an initial business combination by the Company and the Company’s liquidation. Amounts outstanding under the August 2026 Note are convertible, at the option of the Sponsor, into Conversion Units at a conversion price of $10.00 per unit.
Agility Robotics Business Combination
On June 24, 2026, the Company entered into the Merger Agreement with Merger Sub and Agility Robotics, Inc. Pursuant to the Merger Agreement, and on the terms and subject to the satisfaction or waiver of the conditions set forth therein, the parties thereto intend to effect the Merger.
Results of Operations
We have neither engaged in any operations nor generated any revenues to date. Our only activities since June 4, 2025 (inception) through June 30, 2026 have been (i) organizational activities and (ii) activities relating to (x) the Initial Public Offering and (y) identifying and evaluating prospective acquisition candidates and activities in connection with the initial Business Combination, including the Agility Robotics Business Combination. We will not generate any operating revenues until after completion of our initial Business Combination. We have generated non-operating income in the form of interest income on investments held in the Trust Account after the Initial Public Offering. We expect to incur increased expenses as a result of being a public company (for legal, financial reporting, accounting and auditing compliance, among other things), as well as for due diligence expenses.
For the three months ended June 30, 2026, we had a net loss of $134,680,744, which consists of general and administrative costs of $693,551, Subscription Agreement expense of $39,072,918 and change in fair value of Subscription Agreement liability of $98,699,277, offset by interest income on marketable securities and cash held in the Trust Account of $3,785,002.
For the six months ended June 30, 2026, we had a net loss of $131,509,371, which consists of general and administrative costs of $1,067,224, Subscription Agreement expense of $39,072,918 and change in fair value of Subscription Agreement liability of $98,699,277, offset by interest income on marketable securities and cash held in the Trust Account of $7,330,048.
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For the period from June 4, 2025 (inception) through June 30, 2025, we had a net loss of $22,045 which primarily consist of general and administrative costs.
Liquidity, Capital Resources and Going Concern
Following the Initial Public Offering, including the full exercise of the Over-Allotment Option, and the Private Placement, a total of $414,000,000 was placed in the Trust Account. We incurred fees of $19,618,232, consisting of $3,000,000 (net of $3,210,000 Underwriter’s reimbursement) of cash underwriting fee, the Deferred Fees of $15,990,000 and $628,232 of other offering costs.
As of June 30, 2026, we had $1,252,516 of cash in our operating account. As of June 30, 2026, we had a working capital deficit of $138,253,457. As of June 30, 2026, $7,330,048 of the amount earned on funds held in the Trust Account was available for Permitted Withdrawals.
As of June 30, 2026, we had marketable securities held in the Trust Account of $420,879,831 (including $7,330,048 of interest income less funds released of $1,000,000 for the yearly Permitted Withdrawal). We may withdraw interest from the Trust Account for Permitted Withdrawals. We intend to use substantially all of the funds held in the Trust Account, including any amounts representing interest earned on the Trust Account (which interest shall be net of any Permitted Withdrawals and exclude the Deferred Fees), to complete our Business Combination. To the extent that our share capital or debt is used, in whole or in part, as consideration to complete our Business Combination, the remaining proceeds held in the Trust Account will be used as working capital to finance the operations of the target business or businesses, make other acquisitions and pursue our growth strategies.
To mitigate the risk that we might be deemed to be an investment company for purposes of the Investment Company Act, which risk increases the longer that we hold investments in the Trust Account, we may, at any time, (based on our Management Team’s ongoing assessment of all factors related to our potential status under the Investment Company Act) instruct the trustee to liquidate the investments held in the Trust Account and instead to hold the funds in the Trust Account in cash or in an interest-bearing demand deposit account at a bank.
As of June 30, 2026, we had cash held outside of the Trust Account of $1,252,516. We use the funds held outside the Trust Account primarily to identify and evaluate target businesses, perform business due diligence on prospective target businesses, travel to and from the offices, plants, or similar locations of prospective target businesses or their representatives or owners, review corporate documents and material agreements of prospective target businesses, and structure, negotiate and complete a Business Combination.
Our liquidity needs through June 30, 2026 have been satisfied through (i) a contribution of $25,000 from the Sponsor in exchange for the issuance of our Founder Shares, (ii) a loan pursuant to the IPO Promissory Note, and (iii) the net proceeds from the consummation of the Initial Public Offering and Private Placement held outside of the Trust Account.
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IPO Promissory Note
Prior to the closing of our Initial Public Offering, our Sponsor agreed to loan us an aggregate of up to $600,000 under the IPO Promissory Note to cover expenses related to the Initial Public Offering. Such loans and advances were non-interest bearing and payable on the earlier of December 31, 2025 or the completion of our Initial Public Offering. The loan of $356,062 was fully repaid upon the consummation of our Initial Public Offering on December 18, 2025. No additional borrowing is available under the IPO Promissory Note.
Working Capital Loans and Other Sources
In order to fund working capital deficiencies or finance transaction costs in connection with a Business Combination, the Sponsor, or certain of our officers and directors or their affiliates may, but are not obligated to, loan us Working Capital Loans, as may be required. If we complete a Business Combination, we will repay such Working Capital Loans. In the event that a Business Combination does not close, we may use a portion of the working capital held outside the Trust Account to repay such Working Capital Loans, but no proceeds from our Trust Account will be used for such repayment. Initially, up to $1,500,000 of such Working Capital Loans may be converted into units of the post-Business Combination entity at a price of $10.00 per unit. On August 7, 2026, in connection with the issuance of the August 2026 Note, the Board approved an additional $1,500,000 of Working Capital Loans that may be convertible into units of the post Business Combination entity at a price of $10.00 per unit at the option of the lender. Such units (and underlying securities) would be identical to the Private Placement Units (and underlying securities). Other than as set forth above, the terms of such Working Capital Loans, if any, have not been determined and no written agreements exist with respect to such Working Capital Loans. As of June 30, 2026, we did not have any borrowings under any Working Capital Loans.
Additionally, to fund working capital, the Company has Permitted Withdrawals available up to an annual limit of $1,000,000. These Permitted Withdrawals are limited to only the interest available in the Trust Account that has been earned in excess of the initial deposit at the Initial Public Offering. For the six months ended June 30, 2026, the Company withdrew $1,000,000 from the Trust Account for working capital purposes. As of June 30, 2026, the Company had $0 available for Permitted Withdrawals for the period from December 18, 2025 until December 18, 2026, which is the 1-year anniversary of the Initial Public Offering.
Going Concern
In connection with the Company’s assessment of going concern considerations in accordance with ASC 205-40, “Going Concern,” as of June 30, 2026, the Company will need to raise additional capital through loans or additional investments from its Sponsor, shareholders, officers, directors, or third parties. The Company cannot assure that its plans to consummate an initial Business Combination will be successful.
Moreover, the Company will need to obtain additional financing either to complete its Business Combination or because the Company becomes obligated to redeem a significant number of Public Shares upon completion of the Business Combination, in which case the Company may issue additional securities or incur debt in connection with such Business Combination. Accordingly, the Company may not be able to obtain additional financing. If the Company is unable to raise additional capital, it may be required to take additional measures to conserve liquidity, which could include, but not necessarily be limited to, curtailing operations, suspending the pursuit of a potential transaction, and reducing overhead expenses. The Company cannot provide any assurance that new financing will be available to it on commercially acceptable terms, if at all.
Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements
We have no obligations, assets or liabilities, which would be considered off-balance sheet arrangements as of June 30, 2026. We do not participate in transactions that create relationships with unconsolidated entities or financial partnerships, often referred to as variable interest entities, which would have been established for the purpose of facilitating off-balance sheet arrangements. We have not entered into any off-balance sheet financing arrangements, established any special purpose entities, guaranteed any debt or commitments of other entities, or purchased any non-financial assets.
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Contractual Obligations
We do not have any long-term debt, capital lease obligations, operating lease obligations or long-term liabilities, other than as follows:
Administrative Support Agreement
Commencing on December 18, 2025, and until the completion of our Business Combination or liquidation, we reimburse an affiliate of the Sponsor $30,000 per month for office space, utilities, and secretarial and administrative support pursuant to the Administrative Support Agreement. For the three and six months ended June 30, 2026, we incurred $90,000 and $180,000 in fees for these services, respectively. For the period from June 4, 2025 (inception) through June 30, 2025, no fees were incurred for these services.
Director Agreement
On March 17, 2026, the Company entered into a director agreement with each of its independent directors, pursuant to which, in connection with each director’s continuing service as a director of the Company, the Company agreed to pay each director cash compensation of $75,000 per annum, beginning on April 1, 2026. For the three and six months ended June 30, 2026, $56,250 fees were incurred for these services. For the period from June 4, 2025 (inception) through June 30, 2025, no fees were incurred for these services.
Underwriting Agreement
We granted the Underwriter a 45-day option from the date of the Initial Public Offering to purchase up to an additional 5,400,000 Option Units to cover over-allotments, if any. On December 16, 2025, the Underwriter fully exercised its Over-Allotment Option.
The Underwriter was paid a cash underwriting discount of $3,000,000 (after deduction of $3,210,000 of Underwriter’s reimbursement). Additionally, the Underwriter is entitled to a Deferred Fee of $15,990,000, of which (x) $14,490,000 was placed in the Trust Account located in the United States and released to the Underwriter only upon the completion of an initial Business Combination and (y) $1,500,000 which was payable to the Underwriter from funds available outside the Trust Account upon the announcement that the Company has entered into a definitive Business Combination agreement.
Registration Rights Agreement
The holders of (i) the Founder Shares, (ii) the Private Placement Units and (iii) any private placement-equivalent units issued in connection with the Working Capital Loans, if any (and in each case holders of their underlying securities, as applicable) are entitled to registration rights pursuant to the Registration Rights Agreement, requiring us to register such securities for resale (in the case of the Founder Shares, only after conversion to our Class A Ordinary Shares). The holders of the majority of these securities are entitled to make up to three demands, excluding short form demands, that we register such securities. In addition, the holders have certain “piggyback” registration rights with respect to registration statements filed subsequent to the consummation of a Business Combination and rights to require us to register for resale such securities pursuant to Rule 415 under the Securities Act. We will bear the expenses incurred in connection with the filing of any such registration statements.
Letter Agreement
Our Sponsor, directors and officers have entered into the Letter Agreement with us, pursuant to which, they have waived their rights to liquidating distributions from the Trust Account with respect to any Founder Shares held by them if we fail to complete our initial Business Combination within the Combination Period. However, if they acquire Public Shares in or after the Initial Public Offering, they will be entitled to liquidating distributions from the Trust Account with respect to such Public Shares if we fail to complete our initial Business Combination within the Combination Period.
Additionally, pursuant to the Letter Agreement, our Sponsor, directors and officers will not propose any amendment to our Amended and Restated Articles to modify (i) the substance or timing of our obligation to allow redemption in connection with our initial Business Combination or to redeem 100% of our Public Shares if we do not complete our initial Business Combination within the Combination Period or (ii) any other material provisions relating to shareholders’ rights or pre-initial Business Combination activity, unless we provide our Public Shareholders with the opportunity to redeem their Public Shares upon approval of any such amendment at a per-share price, payable in cash, equal to the aggregate amount then on deposit in the Trust Account, including interest earned on the funds held in the Trust Account and not previously released to us in connection with Permitted Withdrawals, divided by the number of then outstanding Public Shares.
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Furthermore, pursuant to the Letter Agreement, our Sponsor, directors and officers have agreed that: (x) the Founder Shares shall be subject to transfer restrictions until the earlier of (i) six months after the completion of our initial Business Combination and (ii) the date following the completion of our initial Business Combination on which we complete a liquidation, merger, share exchange or other similar transaction that results in all of our shareholders having the right to exchange their Class A Ordinary Shares for cash, securities or other property; (y) the Private Placement Units (including their underlying securities) shall be subject to transfer restriction until 30 days after the completion of our initial Business Combination; and (z) Any Units, Warrants, Ordinary Shares or any other securities convertible into, or exercisable or exchangeable for, any Units, Ordinary Shares or Warrants shall be subject to transfer restriction for 180 days.
Merger Agreement
On June 24, 2026, the Company entered into the Merger Agreement with Merger Sub and Agility Robotics, Inc. Pursuant to the Merger Agreement, and on the terms and subject to the satisfaction or waiver of the conditions set forth therein, the parties thereto intend to effect the Merger. For more details on the Merger Agreement, see Note 6.
Subscription Agreements
In connection with the execution of the Merger Agreement, on June 24, 2026, the Company entered into Subscription Agreements with the PIPE Investors pursuant to which the Company has agreed to issue and sell to the PIPE Investors 20,102,500 shares of common stock of the Company after domestication at a purchase price of $10.00 per share for an aggregate commitment of $201,025,000. The closing of the PIPE Investment is conditioned on all conditions set forth in the Merger Agreement having been satisfied or waived and other customary closing conditions, and the PIPE Investment will be consummated immediately prior to the Closing. The Subscription Agreements will terminate upon the earlier to occur of (i) the termination of the Merger Agreement, (ii) the mutual written agreement of the parties thereto and (iii) January 31, 2027 unless the Merger Agreement is otherwise extended, at the option of the PIPE Investors. The Subscription Agreements provide for, under certain circumstances, customary indemnities between the Company and the PIPE Investors. For more details on the Subscription Agreements, see Note 6.
Advisory Agreement
On June 24, 2026, the Company entered into the Advisory Agreement with the Advisor. Pursuant to the terms thereof, effective as of the Closing, the Advisor will provide financial advisory, strategic consulting, and business development services to the post-Closing Company.
Pursuant to the terms of the Advisory Agreement, the Advisor is entitled to a fixed cash retainer fee of $250,000 per quarter, in addition to other potential fees depending on the outcomes of certain transactions. The Advisory Agreement has an initial term of two (2) years and may be extended upon mutual agreement of the parties. For more details on the Advisory Agreement, see Note 6.
Critical Accounting Estimates
We have identified the following as our critical accounting policies. See our unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements and notes thereto included elsewhere in this Report for additional information regarding these critical accounting policies and other significant accounting policies.
Use of Estimates
The preparation of the unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements and notes thereto included elsewhere in this Report in conformity with GAAP requires Management to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities, income and expenses, and the disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities, in our unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements. These accounting estimates require the use of assumptions about matters, some of which are highly uncertain at the time of estimation. Management bases its estimates on historical experience and on various other assumptions it believes to be reasonable under the circumstances, the results of which form the basis for making judgments, and we evaluate these estimates on an ongoing basis. To the extent actual experience differs from the assumptions used, our unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements and notes thereto included elsewhere in this Report could be materially affected. We believe that the following accounting policies involve a higher degree of judgment and complexity. Using a valuation, the Company estimated the fair value of the Public Warrants as of the Initial Public Offering and the valuing of the Subscription Agreement. Other than estimating the value of the Public Warrants and Subscription Agreement, we did not have any other critical accounting estimates as of June 30, 2026.
Warrant Instruments
We account for Warrants as either equity-classified or liability-classified instruments based on an assessment of the Warrant’s specific terms and applicable authoritative guidance in FASB ASC Topic 480, “Distinguishing Liabilities from Equity” (“ASC 480”), and FASB ASC Topic 815, “Derivatives and Hedging” (“ASC 815”). The assessment considers whether the Warrants are freestanding financial instruments pursuant to ASC 480, meet the definition of a liability pursuant to ASC 480, and whether the Warrants meet all of the requirements for equity classification under ASC 815, including whether the Warrants are indexed to our own Ordinary Shares and whether the Warrant holders could potentially require “net cash settlement” in a circumstance outside of our control, among other conditions for equity classification. This assessment, which requires the use of professional judgment, is conducted at the time of Warrant issuance and as of each subsequent quarterly period end date while the Warrants are outstanding.
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For issued or modified Warrants that meet all of the criteria for equity classification, the Warrants are required to be recorded as a component of additional paid-in capital at the time of issuance. For issued or modified Warrants that do not meet all the criteria for equity classification, the Warrants are required to be recorded at their initial fair value on the date of issuance, and each condensed consolidated balance sheet date thereafter. Accordingly, we evaluated and classified the Warrant instruments under equity treatment at its assigned fair value.
Net Loss Per Ordinary Share
We comply with the accounting and disclosure requirements of FASB ASC Topic 260, “Earnings Per Share.” Net loss per Ordinary Share is computed by dividing net loss applicable to shareholders by the weighted average number of Ordinary Shares outstanding for the applicable periods. We apply the two-class method in calculating earnings per Ordinary Share and allocate net loss pro rata to Class A Ordinary Shares subject to possible redemption, nonredeemable Class A Ordinary Shares and Class B Ordinary Shares. Accretion associated with the redeemable Class A Ordinary Shares is excluded from earnings per share as the redemption value is not in excess of the fair value.
Recent Accounting Standards
Management does not believe that there are any other recently issued, but not yet effective, accounting standards, which, if currently adopted, would have a material effect on the unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements and notes thereto included in this Report under Item 1. “Financial Statements.”